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Suburb profile ·Warrnambool LGA · VIC ·3280

Dennington VIC 3280

Dennington is in Warrnambool LGA, VIC, postcode 3280, with population 1,994.

The read

Affordability-first

The page has enough signal to be useful, but the story is mixed rather than decisive. Use compare mode to pressure-test it against stronger nearby options, then use the calculator if it still makes the shortlist.

$615K
+5.4% YoY
2014 → 2024 · 11 periods
ABS + state medians
$617K
$315K
2014 2024
Why it fits

Entry price sits in the lower-cost range for a first-pass screen. Transport coverage adds a practical access signal.

Median house
$615K
House median, latest period
5.4%YoY D3 vs AU
Median rent
$500/wk
Rent-led investor candidate
D10 vs AU
Gross yield
4.2%
Moderate yield band
D10 vs AU
Population
1,994
2K local footprint
D8 vs AU
Schools
1
Matched school context
D1 vs AU
Drive to city
3h 23m
255.9 km to Melbourne CBD · free-flow
Solar
3,551
233 added 12mo · 24MW

Price history

Rental vacancy rate

Rental vacancy rate · Regional Victoria
1.9%
Tight (landlord) market

Official vacancy is published at the Regional Victoria level, not per suburb. Shaded band marks a balanced market (2.5–3.5%).

Source: Homes Victoria Rental Report (DFFH) · Latest: Sep 2025

Trend & investor depth

Indicative cashflow-$212/wk (-$11,004/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Value vs advantage-22% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 6)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Bgrade · 63/100 · top 37% of 3,605AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 63% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth55
Rental yield56
Stability64
Volatility-9.8ppCycle-2.0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in Dennington

Owner-occupied 82%Rented 18%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared4%
844 of 2,083 landlords
Avg rental loss$6,271/yr
Landlords (rental income)2,083
Reported capital gains1,889
Investor exposure index(low vs national)48.4/100
The read

Owner-occupier stronghold

80% of homes here are owner-occupied and 18% rented, with 4% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

80% owner-occupied — owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb rate shocks, supporting price stability.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

39%
of household income to service a new loan
9.1 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Stretched
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $2,950/mo vs median rent $2,167/mo (+36% · +$181/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $2,349/mo (-601) · at 6.0% (current): $2,950/mo · at 8.0%: $3,610/mo (+660)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
6.8x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Moderate
Renting
29%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Manageable

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $1,430/mo, while renters pay about $2,167/mo — renting runs $737/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$615K
Household income · yr
$90K
Median rent · wk
$500
Owner mortgage · mo
$1,430
Gross yield
4.2%

Household income

$90K household · yr+9.1% vs VIC suburb median
Personal
$44K
Family
$106K
Household
$90K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)33% could service the median house
Under $300
21
$300-649
74
$650-999
77
$1,000-1,499
115
$1,500-1,999
102
$2,000-2,999
195
$3,000-3,999
69
$4,000+
23

Serviceability line: a household needs about $2,269/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 48% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $1,667/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (700 households)1.4% social housing
Owned outright
31%
Owned with mortgage
49%
Rented
18%
Dwelling structure7.0% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
99%
Townhouse / semi
1%
Flat / apartment
0%

Getting to work: 88% drive, 1% public transport, 3% walk or cycle, 8% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Schools

Total1
Avg ICSEA1009
Students273
Catholic1
  • St John's SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1009

Livability

35/ 100 livability index

Top 65% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 35% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access40
Public transport (10 stops)33
Schools & hospitals25

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime Year ending Mar 2026
3,538
9,649 per 100k
D9 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k9,649
Total incidents3,538· Year ending Mar 2026
  • Assault34850%
  • Sexual Offences19428%
  • Robbery61%
  • Break And Enter15322%

Bushfire-prone area

Partly designated ~91.4%
~91.4% of the suburb is within Victoria's designated Bushfire Prone Area

Share of the suburb within Victoria's gazetted Bushfire Prone Area (Vicmap, CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. A Bushfire Prone Area is a planning designation that triggers the building code's bushfire construction provisions — it is not a graduated hazard rating or a property-level Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Flood exposure

No mapped exposure ~0.0%
~0.0% of the suburb sits within a mapped flood-hazard area

Estimated exposure to the official flood-hazard layer (VIC LSIO), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within mapped flood-planning areas — it is not a property-level flood certificate. Areas without a completed flood study may be unmapped. Check the local council's flood maps for an individual property.

Short-term rentals

8
active listings · ~4.0 per 1,000 residents
88%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
50%
run by multi-listing operators

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Farming (FZ)
Rural / Green wedge 65% Residential 17% Public / Open space 16% Industrial 2%
Residential density: Standard

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against Vicmap Planning scheme-zone polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Growth outlook · Warrnambool LGA

Dwellings
+18.5%
16,030 → 19,000
+2,970 dwellings
Population
+8.9%
35,420 → 38,580
Households
+15.8%
15,020 → 17,400

LGA-level official projection (Victoria in Future 2023, DTP). Indicative of the wider council area, not a suburb-level forecast.

Population outlook

13,315 people · 202214,234 by 2032 (+6.9%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Warrnambool - South SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Dennington VIC — Property Data and Demographics

Dennington is a small locality in Victoria within the Warrnambool local government area (postcode 3280). The area has roughly 1,994 residents and a mix of families and early-career residents, with a median age of 34. Households earn a median income of $90K per year, with an average household size of 2.7 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +1.0% year-on-year at the LGA level. VIC employment has moved +0.9% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. VIC also had 41 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 18 underway, and 24 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are technicians & trades, professionals, labourers. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and retail trade. The top ancestries reported are Australian, English, Irish.

The median house price in Dennington is $615,000, having risen solidly by 5.4% over the past year. The current median weekly rent is $500. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 4.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,430.

Dennington is served by 1 school, including 1 primary. The average ICSEA score is 1009, which is around the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 10 bus stops. The crime rate in the Warrnambool LGA is higher than average at 9,649 incidents per 100,000 population.

On the investment side, Dennington shows a gross rental yield of approximately 4.2%, rated as moderate yield. Property prices are near the state median ($615K/$850K). The price-to-income ratio of 6.8x is considered moderate. House prices have moved +5.4% year-on-year. Population growth of +1.0% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield4.2%· Moderate Yield
Price vs State$615K/$850K· Near Median
Affordability6.8x· Moderate
Price Momentum+5.4% Rising
Pop. Growth+1.0%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentVIC
Mortgage · mth$1,430
Rent · wk(Census)$370
Market rent · wk(Sep 2025)$500
Gross yield3.1%
Price / income6.8x
Population growth · Warrnambool LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)36,255
5-year growth+0.5% CAGR
YoY change+1%
20012025
Development · Warrnambool LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)321
Houses 83%Units 17%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Warrnambool LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)2%
YoY change+0pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 3280ATO
Negatively geared4%
844 of filers
Avg rental loss$6,271/yr
Landlords (rental income)2,083
Reported capital gains1,889
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population1,994
Median age34
Household size2.7
HH income · wk$1,727
Personal income · wk$846
Persons / bedroom0.8
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)6/10
Education (IEO)3/10
Economic (IER)5/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)4/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$1,418 → $1,727
Change+21.8%
vs VIC median-1.7 pp
Median rent+23.3%
stablevs VIC 2016–21
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets1
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations1
Cafes & dining0
woolworths1
TransportGTFS
Bus stops10
Hospitals · Warrnambool LGAAIHW
Public1
Private1
South West Healthcare [Warrnambool]public
St John of God Warrnambool Hospitalprivate
Aged care · Warrnambool LGAGEN
Facilities6
Residential places429
Mercy Place Warrnambool120 places
Lyndoch Hostel115 places
Warrnambool Riverside Care Community84 places
Lyndoch Nursing Home65 places
Warrnambool Place Care Community45 places
South West Healthcare Transition Care ProgramTransition Care
Childcare · Warrnambool LGAACECQA
Services32
Approved places1,766
Exceeding NQS4
Story House Early Learning Warrnambool162 places
Bright Start Childcare & Early Learning Centre Warrnambool148 places
Warrnambool City Council OSHC Service - Vacation Care105 places
Florence Collins Childrens Services Complex103 places
North Edge Early Learning103 places
Warrnambool City Council OSHC After School Care90 places
+26 more in Warrnambool LGA
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Dennington has enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
Manual release files still matter here.

DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
VIC Property Sales Report · 2024 · DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.
medium stability · mixed acquisition · every update · quarterly
Available
Market rent
Homes Victoria · Sep 2025 · State market dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · quarterly
Available
Crime
VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Year ending Mar 2026 · Area-level release dataset
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 1 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 10 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Dennington FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Dennington in?

    Dennington is in the Warrnambool Local Government Area, VIC, postcode 3280. Council-level context for Warrnambool LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Dennington?

    The current median house price in Dennington, VIC is $615K, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Dennington?

    The median weekly rent in Dennington is $500/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent-led investor candidate.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Dennington?

    Rent-led investor candidate: Gross rent yield screens at about 4.2%. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Dennington a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Dennington show: Moderate Yield, Near Median, Moderate. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Dennington?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Dennington data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.