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Suburb profile · Bay of Plenty · NZ

Baypark-Kairua NZ

Baypark-Kairua is in Bay of Plenty, New Zealand, with population 753.

The read

Livability-led

There are enough weaker signals here that you should expect trade-offs, not a clean local story. Compare it directly with stronger nearby suburbs before treating it as a preferred option.

$680/wk
1/07/2020 → 1/01/2026 · 20 periods
Tenancy Services · 1/01/2026
$680
$317
1/07/20201/01/2026
What to check

Higher deprivation should be treated as a local-context caution. Small local population makes the signal set more fragile.

Median rent
$680/wk
Income-stretched rent market
D8 vs NZ
Population
753
753 local footprint
D1 vs NZ
Income
$37K/yr
Median personal income
D3 vs NZ
NZDep
Decile 9
Higher deprivation
D9 vs NZ
Schools
2
matched school context

Area prices & affordability

Median sale price
$893K
+17.3% over 5yr
4.6%YoY
Lower quartile
$750K
Entry-level price
House Price Index
3,137
QV-based HPI
3.2%5yr
Income to buy
9.5x
Years of median income
Annual sales
2,802
Transactions, TA

Mortgage serviceability

at the 5.69% 2-year fixed rate
Monthly repayment
$4,140/mo
20% deposit, 30-year P&I
Repayment burden
53%
of gross household income
Stress level
Severe
<30% comfortable · >45% severe
Years to deposit
12.7 yrs
20% deposit at 15% savings

Monthly repayment by fixed term

Floating · 6.15%
$4,350
1-year fixed · 5.26%
$3,947
2-year fixed · 5.69%
$4,140
3-year fixed · 5.86%
$4,217

A territorial-authority estimate: the Tauranga City median sale price on a 20% deposit and 30-year loan, against the TA median household income implied by HUD's income-to-buy ratio, at RBNZ new-mortgage rates. A market-wide guide, not a Baypark-Kairua-specific or borrower-specific figure.

Price trend

1yr +2.4%5yr +0.7%
QV House Price Index (Jan 2007 = 1000)

QV House Price Index for the Tauranga City territorial authority (monthly, Jan 2007 = 1000). A valuation-based index of price movement over time — distinct from the actual median sale price above.

Years of median household income to buy

Figures are for the Tauranga City territorial authority (as at 2026-03). New Zealand has no free suburb-level sale-price series, so these are TA-wide medians from HUD Local Housing Statistics (LINZ District Valuation Roll + Stats NZ) — a market backdrop for Baypark-Kairua, not a Baypark-Kairua-specific sale price.

Rent trend depth

Rent cycle positionRents at their peak
Low · 2020Peak · 2026

At / near its highest median rent on record

Rent growth (compound)3-yr +0.5%/yr · 5-yr +5.1%/yr

Rent trend is derived from MBIE tenancy-bond medians and excludes suburbs with too few bonds to be reliable.

Personal income

$37K personal · yr-6.1% vs Bay of Plenty suburb median
Personal income distribution (Census 2023 · annual)
$10,000 or less
111
$10,001-$20,000
60
$20,001-$30,000
108
$30,001-$50,000
123
$50,001-$70,000
129
$70,001-$100,000
54
$100,001 or more
45

Median individual income. NZ has no suburb-level household-income or sale-price data, so this is a personal-income benchmark, not a household-affordability measure. Distribution covers people aged 15+ with stated income; counts are randomly rounded to base 3.

Housing stock and tenure

Home ownership over three censuses-9.8pp since 2013
2013
53% owned
2018
52% owned
2023
43% owned

9.5% of private dwellings were unoccupied on 2023 census night (holiday homes, empty rentals, and vacant stock).

Dwelling condition (occupied dwellings, self-reported)

23% damp (+2pp vs 2018) and 18% with visible mould larger than A4 (+0pp vs 2018).

Investor-specific data (gearing, investor concentration) is not published for NZ suburbs — the tenure trend above is the available investor signal.

Population outlook

158,900 people · 2023185,600 by 2033 (+16.8%)

Stats NZ subnational projection (2023 base, medium series) for Tauranga City — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Crime

Rate · per 100k5,689
Total incidents8,696· 2026-05
  • Assault1,05544%
  • Burglary1,13647%
  • Robbery823%
  • Sexual Assault1456%

Natural hazards

Earthquake exposure
Low
Proximity to active faults
Nearest active fault
30.4 km
Otamarakau Fault

Earthquake exposure is the distance from Baypark-Kairua's centre to the nearest mapped active fault (GNS Science NZ Active Faults Database) — an area estimate, not a site-specific seismic assessment. NZ's full ground-shaking model (NSHM) is not available as a queryable map layer.

Short-term rentals

8
active listings · ~10.6 per 1,000 residents
88%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
13%
run by multi-listing operators

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Schools

Total2
Students329
State2
  • TKKM o Te Kura KokiriComposite · State
  • TKKM o OtepouFull Primary · State

Livability

44/ 100 livability index

Top 56% most liveable of 1,902New Zealand suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 44% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access23
Public transport (2 stops)22
Schools & hospitals70

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within New Zealand suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Investment grade

Dgrade · 23/100 · top 77% of 65New Zealand districts
Peer distributionstronger than 23% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth42
Rental yield28
Stability23

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

District-level grade across New Zealand territorial authorities, combining 5-year price growth, rental yield (district median rent vs district median price), and stability (price-to-income level + affordability trajectory) via the same three-pillar method with an imbalance penalty. New Zealand has no free suburb-level prices, so this reflects your area's territorial authority. Within-New-Zealand relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Cheaper to rent

lower weekly rent · cross-TA

Higher income

personal median · cross-TA

Less deprived

lower NZDep decile · cross-TA

Alternatives are similar-rent suburbs (0.6–1.6x this suburb's median rent) in other territorial authorities that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Building activity

Latest consents
0
0 houses · 0 units
0.0%YoY

Employment

Employed residents
414
Was 264 in 2018
56.8%vs 2018 D1 vs NZ

Full data detail

Baypark-Kairua Bay of Plenty — Property Data and Demographics

Baypark-Kairua is a small community in Bay of Plenty with a population of 753 and a median age of 31. Median personal income is $37K per year. The main ethnic groups are Māori, European, Asian. Bay of Plenty population estimates moved +0.3% in the year ended June 2025, after moving +1.1% in 2024, which should be read as a broader regional movement backdrop rather than suburb-level migration precision. The resident employment base moved from 264 in 2018 to 414 in 2023 (+56.8%), which should be read as a census-to-census employment backdrop rather than a live jobs series. Te Waihanga's December 2025 Pipeline snapshot tracked over 12,000 NZ infrastructure initiatives, with more than 2,700 under construction and transport taking 52% of projected 2026 pipeline spend, which should be read as a broader national delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project list.

Median weekly rent in Baypark-Kairua is $680 (680 houses, 530 units). This represents approximately 96% of median weekly personal income.

Livability indicators for Baypark-Kairua: NZDep decile 9 (high deprivation); 2 schools with avg EQI 548; 2 transport stops (2 bus).

In 2026, Baypark-Kairua recorded 0 building approvals (0 houses, 0 units), up 0% year-on-year.

Market & money
Livability signalsHeuristics
Rent Affordability96% Stretched
School QualityEQI 548 Below Average
DeprivationDecile 9 High
Transport Access2 stops· Some Access
Development+0%· Steady
Rental marketMBIE
Median rent · wk(1/01/2026)$680
House · wk$680
Unit · wk$530
Rent / income95.8%
Lodgements21
DevelopmentStats NZ
Consents (2026)0
YoY change+0%
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 23
Population753
Median age31
Household size
HH income · yr
Personal income · yr$36,900
Deprivation (NZDep)NZDep23
Less deprived9/10
NZDep score1113

1 = least deprived · 10 = most deprived

EthnicityCensus 23
Māori405
European342
Asian84
Pacific Peoples42
MELAA21
Top industriesCensus 23
Construction54
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing51
Health Care and Social Assistance42
Manufacturing36
Accommodation and Food36
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets0
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations2
Cafes & dining1
TransportGTFS
Bus stops2
Hospitals · Tauranga CityMoH
Tauranga HospitalPublic Hospital
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Baypark-Kairua for a first-pass decision.

NZ suburb pages combine Stats NZ, MBIE, MoE, GTFS, and pinned service coverage. The key difference is that some items are direct feeds, while others are fallback or snapshot layers.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using MBIE bond data when present.

Treat current rent as a decision input, not as a guaranteed market quote.

HOSPITAL POSTURE
Hospital coverage comes from an official pinned snapshot.

This is a trusted coverage layer, but it is still a pinned snapshot rather than a live facility API.

TRANSPORT POSTURE
Transport is feed-based and depends on GTFS bundle coverage.

It is good for stop presence and local network context, but not a guarantee that every operator or schedule is equally current.

Data status
Weekly rent
MBIE rental bond data · 1/01/2026 · Bond market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Schools
MoE school directory · 2 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · nightly
Available
Hospitals
Pinned Health NZ public hospital snapshot · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
NZ GTFS bundle · 2 matched stops
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Available
Building consents
Stats NZ building consents CSV · 2026 · Annual release series
Available
Demographic baseline
Stats NZ Census 2023 · Population, income, and demographic baseline
stable source · manual file · snapshot · census-cycle
Available
Available means a direct local source is linked. Verify means the page is using a weaker fallback or coverage-only snapshot, especially Census rent fallback or pinned hospital coverage.

Baypark-Kairua FAQ

Common questions
  1. What is the typical weekly rent in Baypark-Kairua?

    The median weekly rent in Baypark-Kairua is $680/wk, based on the MBIE market rent dataset. The current rent signal is income-stretched rent market.

  2. What does the rent signal say about Baypark-Kairua?

    Income-stretched rent market: Weekly rent screens at about 96% of annual income. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  3. What is the livability profile for Baypark-Kairua?

    QuickProperty's livability signals for Baypark-Kairua show: Stretched, Below Average, High. These are based on rent affordability, school EQI, NZDep deprivation index, and transport access.

  4. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Baypark-Kairua?

    Housing data comes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Demographics are from Stats NZ Census 2023. Schools data uses the Ministry of Education Equity Index (EQI). The deprivation score uses NZDep2018. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  5. How often is the Baypark-Kairua data updated?

    RBNZ macro data updates with each deploy. Demographics are from NZ Census 2023. School EQI scores are from the Ministry of Education latest release.