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Suburb profile ·Ballina LGA · NSW ·2478

Kinvara NSW 2478

Kinvara is in Ballina LGA, NSW, postcode 2478, with population 193.

Limited data

Thin-context

The page is still useful for local context, but the evidence stack is too thin for a clean one-page call. Use nearby stronger suburbs or compare mode before treating it as a serious shortlist decision.

$800/wk
Rising
+6.7% YoY
Mar 2025 → May 2026 · 15 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2478 · May 2026
$800
$750
Mar 2025May 2026
Why it fits

Higher SEIFA context supports a stronger local-quality read.

What to check

The page is thin enough that nearby alternatives should be checked before shortlisting. Premium pricing raises the bar for yield, affordability, and downside checks. Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$1.8M
House median, latest period
11.5%YoY D9 vs AU
Median rent
$800/wk
Rent-pressure candidate
6.7%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
2.3%
Low yield band
D7 vs AU
Population
48,603
49K via Ballina LGA · SAL undercount
Schools
No matched school data
Drive to city
Not in commute dataset
Solar
9,080
480 added 12mo · 55MW
Price cycleCorrecting
LowPeak

11.5% below peak · 87.8% above its low

See trend depth →

Price history

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionCorrecting
Low · 2017Peak · 2024

11.5% below peak · 87.8% above its low

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+11.5%
Indicative cashflow-$1,119/wk (-$58,204/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Rent stabilitystable — rents vary ±2.2% around trend (short window, 15 pts)
Value vs advantage+62% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 7)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investor profile

Who invests in Kinvara

Owner-occupied 68%Rented 32%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared5.4%
1,050 of 3,302 landlords
Avg rental loss$8,062/yr
Landlords (rental income)3,302
Reported capital gains2,159
The read

Mixed owner-renter market

68% of homes here are owner-occupied and 32% rented, with 5% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

A balanced 68% owner-occupier / 32% renter mix.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

110%
of household income to service a new loan
25.5 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $8,646/mo vs median rent $3,467/mo (+149% · +$1195/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $6,884/mo (-1,761) · at 6.0% (current): $8,646/mo · at 8.0%: $10,581/mo (+1,935)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
19.1x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
44%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
High stress

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $2,817/mo, while renters pay about $3,467/mo — renting runs $650/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$1.80M
Household income · yr
$94K
Median rent · wk
$800
Owner mortgage · mo
$2,817
Gross yield
2.3%

Household income

$94K household · yr+14.5% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$43K
Family
$110K
Household
$94K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)fewer than 7% could service the median house
Under $300
3
$300-649
4
$650-999
13
$1,000-1,499
10
$1,500-1,999
10
$2,000-2,999
18
$3,000-3,999
6
$4,000+
5

Serviceability line: a household needs about $6,650/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 75% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $2,667/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (71 households)
Owned outright
44%
Owned with mortgage
24%
Rented
32%
Dwelling structure7.6% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
96%
Townhouse / semi
0%
Flat / apartment
0%

Getting to work: 52% drive, 0% public transport, 9% walk or cycle, 38% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Crime April 2025 - March 2026
1,941
4,049 per 100k
D6 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k4,049
Total incidents1,941· April 2025 - March 2026
  • Assault34646%
  • Sexual Offences14519%
  • Robbery162%
  • Break And Enter24232%

Bushfire exposure

Moderate exposure ~37.5%
~37.5% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land · ~25.0% Category 1 (highest hazard)

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Primary Production
Rural / Green wedge 67% Public / Open space 17% Residential 11% Other 4%
Residential density: Standard

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Population outlook

18,611 people · 202222,667 by 2032 (+21.8%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Ballina Surrounds SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Kinvara NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Kinvara is a quiet locality in New South Wales within the Ballina local government area (postcode 2478). It is home to about 193 residents, with an older-leaning population and a median age of 50. Households earn a median income of $94K per year, with an average household size of 2.3 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +1.0% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are managers, professionals, technicians & trades. Employment in the area leans toward agriculture and construction. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Irish.

Median house prices in Kinvara stand at $1.8 million, having dropped significantly by 11.5% over the last twelve months. The current median weekly rent is $800. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 2.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,817.

Public transport access includes 4 bus stops. The crime rate in the Ballina LGA is moderate at 4,049 incidents per 100,000 population.

On the investment side, The gross rental yield works out to roughly 2.3%, which reads as low yield. Property prices are near the state median ($1.8M/$1.5M). The price-to-income ratio of 19.1x is considered stretched. House prices have moved -11.5% year-on-year. Population growth of +1.0% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield2.3% Low Yield
Price vs State$1.8M/$1.5M· Near Median
Affordability19.1x Stretched
Price Momentum-11.5% Falling
Pop. Growth+1.0%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$2,817
Rent · wk(Census)$500
Market rent · wk(2026-05)$800
Gross yield1.4%
Price / income19.1x
Population growth · Ballina LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)48,603
5-year growth+1.3% CAGR
YoY change+1%
20012025
Development · Ballina LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)153
Houses 74%Units 26%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Ballina LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)2.7%
YoY change+0.2pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2478ATO
Negatively geared5.4%
1,050 of filers
Avg rental loss$8,062/yr
Landlords (rental income)3,302
Reported capital gains2,159
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population193
Median age50
Household size2.3
HH income · wk$1,812
Personal income · wk$820
Persons / bedroom0.7
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)7/10
Education (IEO)8/10
Economic (IER)7/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)8/10
Area & amenity
TransportGTFS
Bus stops4
Hospitals · Ballina LGAAIHW
Public1
Private1
Ballina District Hospitalpublic
Ballina Day Surgeryprivate
Aged care · Ballina LGAGEN
Facilities6
Residential places586
Bupa Ballina125 places
St Andrew's Village Ballina123 places
Florence Price Gardens120 places
BaptistCare Maranoa Centre - Alstonville90 places
Crowley Retirement Village77 places
Alstonville Adventist Aged Care Facility51 places
Childcare · Ballina LGAACECQA
Services26
Approved places1,531
Exceeding NQS9
Imagine Childcare and Preschool Ballina144 places
Harmony Early Education Lennox Head98 places
Goodstart Early Learning Ballina90 places
Seeds Early Learning Centre - Ballina88 places
Emmanuel Anglican College Early Learning Centre80 places
St Anne's Long Day Care Centre76 places
+20 more in Ballina LGA
Shortlist workspace

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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Kinvara for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2025 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-05 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · April 2025 - March 2026 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · No local school matches exposed
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Missing
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 4 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.
Sparse locality note

This page stays indexable because Kinvara is a real locality with enough context to be directionally useful. The tradeoff is that coverage is lighter than a stronger suburb profile, so the read should stay cautious.

WHY IT LOOKS LIGHTER
This is a real locality, but it has a very small Census footprint.

Small-population localities can still be worth checking, but rankings, comparisons, and broad suburb assumptions become noisier faster.

WHAT IS MISSING
Coverage is lighter across school matches and hospital coverage.

The lighter areas here are school matches and hospital coverage, so a single-page read should carry less weight than usual.

BEST NEXT STEP
Use this page to understand the locality shape, then compare outward.

Use it for context first, then move to compare, the state hub, or a larger nearby suburb before calling it a full market decision.

Page status
INDEXED WITH LIGHTER COVERAGE

This page remains visible, but it should be read as a locality brief rather than a full-confidence suburb profile.

HOW TO READ THIS PAGE

Read it as a direction-setter rather than a final answer: frame the locality, then verify with compare, stronger nearby suburbs, and the state hub.

Stronger nearby reads

If Kinvara feels too thin on its own, use these nearby suburbs as stronger local reads before making a shortlist decision.

Lynwood most similar
similar price band similar rent profile similar suburb scale

pop same · house -$197.5K · rent -$400/wk

Similar local read: useful for context, but still compare the actual market signals.

Rous most similar
similar price band similar rent profile similar suburb scale

pop same · house -$202.5K · rent -$360/wk

Similar local read: useful for context, but still compare the actual market signals.

Pearces Creek most similar
similar price band similar rent profile similar suburb scale

pop same · house -$352.5K · rent -$420/wk

Similar local read: useful for context, but still compare the actual market signals.

Kinvara FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Kinvara in?

    Kinvara is in the Ballina Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2478. Council-level context for Ballina LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Kinvara?

    The current median house price in Kinvara, NSW is $1.8M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Kinvara?

    The median weekly rent in Kinvara is $800/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent-pressure candidate.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Kinvara?

    Rent-pressure candidate: Kinvara rents screen above the local benchmark. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Kinvara a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Kinvara show: Low Yield, Near Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Kinvara?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Kinvara data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.