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Suburb profile ·Port Stephens LGA · NSW ·2315

Shoal Bay NSW 2315

Shoal Bay is in Port Stephens LGA, NSW, postcode 2315, with population 1,815.

The read

Livability-led

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$650/wk
+8.3% YoY
Mar 2025 → Apr 2026 · 14 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2315 · Apr 2026
$700
$575
Mar 2025Apr 2026
Why it fits

Transport coverage adds a practical access signal.

What to check

Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$1.3M
House median, latest period
2.9%YoY D8 vs AU
Median rent
$650/wk
Rent context available
8.3%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
2.7%
Low yield band
D8 vs AU
Population
1,815
2K local footprint
D8 vs AU
Schools
1
Matched school context
D1 vs AU
Solar
2,985
172 added 12mo · 18MW

Price history

HousesUnits

Houses to Q3'25 · Units to Q4'25 — house and unit medians are released on separate cycles, so their latest period can differ.

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionAt its peak
Low · 2011Peak · 2025

At / near its all-time high

Price growth (compound)3-yr +1.3%/yr · 5-yr +13.8%/yr · 10-yr +10.3%/yr
Indicative cashflow-$686/wk (-$35,650/yr) · interest-only @ 6.1%, 80% LVR

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection.

Affordability

Buying
23.9x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
65%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
High stress

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $1,700/mo, while renters pay about $2,817/mo — renting runs $1,117/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$1.25M
Household income · yr
$52K
Median rent · wk
$650
Owner mortgage · mo
$1,700
Gross yield
2.7%

Household income

$52K household · yr-36.4% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$32K
Family
$75K
Household
$52K

Schools

Total1
Avg ICSEA962
Students237
Government1
  • Shoal Bay Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 962
Crime January 2025 - December 2025
2,451
3,152 per 100k
D5 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k3,152
Total incidents2,451· January 2025 - December 2025
  • Assault79364%
  • Sexual Offences23119%
  • Robbery111%
  • Break And Enter20016%

Full data detail

Shoal Bay NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Located in New South Wales within the Port Stephens local government area, Shoal Bay is a small locality (postcode 2315). With a population of 1,815, the suburb has a predominantly older resident base with a median age of 59. Households earn a median income of $52K per year, with an average household size of 2 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +1.3% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +0.3% year-on-year in the official Jobs and Skills Australia NERO series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 37 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 5 underway, and 75 in planning as at 2 October 2024, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are technicians & trades, professionals, community & personal service. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and accommodation & food. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Irish.

The median house price in Shoal Bay is $1.3 million, having moved higher by 2.9% over the past year. Units have a median price of $823,000 (+13.8% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $650. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 2.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,700.

Shoal Bay is served by 1 school, including 1 primary. The average ICSEA score is 962, which is around the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 16 bus stops. The crime rate in the Port Stephens LGA is below average at 3,152 incidents per 100,000 population.

From an investment perspective, Shoal Bay shows a gross rental yield of approximately 2.7%, rated as low yield. Property prices are near the state median ($1.3M/$1.5M). The price-to-income ratio of 23.9x is considered stretched. House prices have moved +2.9% year-on-year. Population growth of +1.3% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield2.7% Low Yield
Price vs State$1.3M/$1.5M· Near Median
Affordability23.9x Stretched
Price Momentum+2.9%· Stable
Pop. Growth+1.3%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$1,700
Rent · wk(Census)$338
Market rent · wk(2026-04)$650
Gross yield1.4%
Price / income23.9x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2025-Q3)10
Population growth · Port Stephens LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)80,070
5-year growth+1.5% CAGR
YoY change+1.3%
20012025
Development · Port Stephens LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)324
Houses197
Units127
YoY change+0%
Employment · Port Stephens LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)4.5%
YoY change-0.3pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2315ATO
Negatively geared471 (5.3% of filers)
Avg rental loss$7,487/yr
Landlords (rental income)1,387
Reported capital gains968
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population1,815
Median age59
Household size2
HH income · wk$1,007
Personal income · wk$623
Persons / bedroom0.7
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)3/10
Education (IEO)4/10
Economic (IER)2/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)3/10
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets1
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations0
Cafes & dining3
iga1
TransportGTFS
Bus stops16
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Shoal Bay for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2025-Q3 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-04 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · January 2025 - December 2025 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 1 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 16 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Shoal Bay FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Shoal Bay in?

    Shoal Bay is in the Port Stephens Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2315. Council-level context for Port Stephens LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Shoal Bay?

    The current median house price in Shoal Bay, NSW is $1.3M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Shoal Bay?

    The median weekly rent in Shoal Bay is $650/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent context available.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Shoal Bay?

    Rent context available: Shoal Bay has usable rent context. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Shoal Bay a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Shoal Bay show: Low Yield, Near Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Shoal Bay?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Shoal Bay data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.