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Suburb profile ·Macedon Ranges LGA · VIC ·3438

New Gisborne VIC 3438

New Gisborne is in Macedon Ranges LGA, VIC, postcode 3438, with population 2,509.

The read

Livability-led

The page has enough signal to be useful, but the story is mixed rather than decisive. Use compare mode to pressure-test it against stronger nearby options, then use the calculator if it still makes the shortlist.

$835K
-1.8% YoY
2014 → 2024 · 11 periods
ABS + state medians
$875K
$498K
2014 2024
Why it fits

School coverage gives the page a stronger family/livability signal. Transport coverage adds a practical access signal. Higher SEIFA context supports a stronger local-quality read.

Median house
$835K
House median, latest period
1.8%YoY D5 vs AU
Median rent
$580/wk
Rent context available
D10 vs AU
Gross yield
3.6%
Below investor band
D10 vs AU
Population
2,509
3K local footprint
D9 vs AU
Schools
3
Matched school context
D9 vs AU
Drive to city
47 min
56.1 km to Melbourne CBD · free-flow
Solar
459
39 added 12mo · 4MW

Price history

Rental vacancy rate

Rental vacancy rate · Regional Victoria
1.9%
Tight (landlord) market

Official vacancy is published at the Regional Victoria level, not per suburb. Shaded band marks a balanced market (2.5–3.5%).

Source: Homes Victoria Rental Report (DFFH) · Latest: Sep 2025

Trend & investor depth

Indicative cashflow-$361/wk (-$18,796/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Value vs advantage-37% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 10)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Cgrade · 52/100 · top 48% of 3,605AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 52% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth36
Rental yield46
Stability97
Volatility-8.8ppCycle+2.0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in New Gisborne

Owner-occupied 89%Rented 11%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared9.1%
142 of 235 landlords
Avg rental loss$8,081/yr
Landlords (rental income)235
Reported capital gains193
The read

Owner-occupier stronghold

87% of homes here are owner-occupied and 11% rented, with 9% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

87% owner-occupied — owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb rate shocks, supporting price stability.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

41%
of household income to service a new loan
9.4 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Stretched
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $4,005/mo vs median rent $2,513/mo (+59% · +$344/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $3,189/mo (-816) · at 6.0% (current): $4,005/mo · at 8.0%: $4,902/mo (+897)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
7.0x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Moderate
Renting
25%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Manageable

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $1,950/mo, while renters pay about $2,513/mo — renting runs $563/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$835K
Household income · yr
$119K
Median rent · wk
$580
Owner mortgage · mo
$1,950
Gross yield
3.6%

Household income

$119K household · yr+44% vs VIC suburb median
Personal
$45K
Family
$134K
Household
$119K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)34% could service the median house
Under $300
25
$300-649
51
$650-999
57
$1,000-1,499
104
$1,500-1,999
88
$2,000-2,999
160
$3,000-3,999
112
$4,000+
158

Serviceability line: a household needs about $3,081/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 41% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $1,933/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (803 households)
Owned outright
39%
Owned with mortgage
47%
Rented
11%
Dwelling structure6.3% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
97%
Townhouse / semi
3%
Flat / apartment
0%

Getting to work: 66% drive, 2% public transport, 2% walk or cycle, 29% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Schools

Total3
Avg ICSEA1062
Students847
Catholic1
Government1
Independent1
  • New Gisborne Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1080
  • Holy Cross Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1063
  • Global Village LearningCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1042

Livability

63/ 100 livability index

Top 37% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 63% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access19
Public transport (21 stops)56
Schools & hospitals71

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime Year ending Mar 2026
2,777
5,037 per 100k
D7 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k5,037
Total incidents2,777· Year ending Mar 2026
  • Assault23551%
  • Sexual Offences5111%
  • Robbery10%
  • Break And Enter17137%

Bushfire-prone area

Partly designated ~94.4%
~94.4% of the suburb is within Victoria's designated Bushfire Prone Area

Share of the suburb within Victoria's gazetted Bushfire Prone Area (Vicmap, CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. A Bushfire Prone Area is a planning designation that triggers the building code's bushfire construction provisions — it is not a graduated hazard rating or a property-level Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Flood exposure

No mapped exposure ~0.0%
~0.0% of the suburb sits within a mapped flood-hazard area

Estimated exposure to the official flood-hazard layer (VIC LSIO), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within mapped flood-planning areas — it is not a property-level flood certificate. Areas without a completed flood study may be unmapped. Check the local council's flood maps for an individual property.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Rural Conservation (RCZ)
Rural / Green wedge 54% Residential 38% Public / Open space 6% Industrial 3%
Residential density: Low

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against Vicmap Planning scheme-zone polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Growth outlook · Macedon Ranges LGA

Dwellings
+27.9%
20,630 → 26,390
+5,760 dwellings
Population
+25.9%
51,570 → 64,950
Households
+31.2%
19,370 → 25,410

LGA-level official projection (Victoria in Future 2023, DTP). Indicative of the wider council area, not a suburb-level forecast.

Population outlook

14,450 people · 202216,520 by 2032 (+14.3%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Gisborne SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
New Gisborne VIC — Property Data and Demographics

New Gisborne (postcode 3438) is a compact suburb in Victoria within the Macedon Ranges local government area. It is home to about 2,509 residents, with an established family demographic and a median age of 41. Households earn a median income of $119K per year, with an average household size of 2.9 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement into the broader catchment, with population growth running at +1.6% year-on-year at the LGA level. VIC employment has moved +0.9% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. VIC also had 41 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 18 underway, and 24 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, managers, technicians & trades. Employment in the area leans toward construction and healthcare. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Irish.

New Gisborne has a median house price of $835,000, which has eased back by 1.8% year-on-year. The current median weekly rent is $580. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 3.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,950.

New Gisborne is served by 3 schools, including 2 primary, 1 combined. The average ICSEA score is 1062, which is above the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 9 rail stations, 12 bus stops. The crime rate in the Macedon Ranges LGA is moderate at 5,037 incidents per 100,000 population.

Looking at the investment signals, Gross rental yield sits at around 3.6% (moderate yield). Property prices are near the state median ($835K/$850K). The price-to-income ratio of 7.0x is considered moderate. House prices have moved -1.8% year-on-year. Population growth of +1.6% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield3.6%· Moderate Yield
Price vs State$835K/$850K· Near Median
Affordability7.0x· Moderate
Price Momentum-1.8% Falling
Pop. Growth+1.6%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentVIC
Mortgage · mth$1,950
Rent · wk(Census)$451
Market rent · wk(Sep 2025)$580
Gross yield2.8%
Price / income7.0x
Population growth · Macedon Ranges LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)54,464
5-year growth+1.4% CAGR
YoY change+1.6%
20012025
Development · Macedon Ranges LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)231
Houses 88%Units 12%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Macedon Ranges LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)1.7%
YoY change-0.1pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 3438ATO
Negatively geared9.1%
142 of filers
Avg rental loss$8,081/yr
Landlords (rental income)235
Reported capital gains193
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population2,509
Median age41
Household size2.9
HH income · wk$2,279
Personal income · wk$874
Persons / bedroom0.8
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)10/10
Education (IEO)9/10
Economic (IER)9/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)9/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$1,810 → $2,279
Change+25.9%
vs VIC median+2.4 pp
Median rent+17.1%
stablevs VIC 2016–21
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets0
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations0
Cafes & dining1
TransportGTFS
Rail stations9
Bus stops12
Argyle St/Station Rd
Farrell St/Station Rd
Gisborne Station
Gisborne Station/Early St
Lonhro Ct/Station Rd
Hospitals · Macedon Ranges LGAAIHW
Public1
Private0
Kyneton District Health Servicepublic
Aged care · Macedon Ranges LGAGEN
Facilities7
Residential places669
Romsey Community Aged Care120 places
Bupa Woodend113 places
Arcare Gisborne96 places
Bupa Kyneton93 places
RM Begg90 places
Warrina Aged Care79 places · in suburb
+1 more in Macedon Ranges LGA
Childcare · Macedon Ranges LGAACECQA
Services48
Approved places3,308
Exceeding NQS11
The Learning Sanctuary Gisborne131 places
Story House Early Learning Gisborne123 places
Embracia Childcare and Kindergarten120 places
Gumboots Early Learning Gisborne120 places
Gumboots Early Learning Riddells Creek119 places
Story House Early Learning New Gisborne116 places · in suburb
+42 more in Macedon Ranges LGA
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

New Gisborne carries enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
Manual release files still matter here.

DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
VIC Property Sales Report · 2024 · DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.
medium stability · mixed acquisition · every update · quarterly
Available
Market rent
Homes Victoria · Sep 2025 · State market dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · quarterly
Available
Crime
VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Year ending Mar 2026 · Area-level release dataset
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 3 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 21 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

New Gisborne FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is New Gisborne in?

    New Gisborne is in the Macedon Ranges Local Government Area, VIC, postcode 3438. Council-level context for Macedon Ranges LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in New Gisborne?

    The current median house price in New Gisborne, VIC is $835K, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in New Gisborne?

    The median weekly rent in New Gisborne is $580/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent context available.

  4. What does the rent signal say about New Gisborne?

    Rent context available: New Gisborne has usable rent context. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is New Gisborne a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for New Gisborne show: Moderate Yield, Near Median, Moderate. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for New Gisborne?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the New Gisborne data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.