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Suburb profile ·Bass Coast LGA · VIC ·3984

Pioneer Bay VIC 3984

Pioneer Bay is in Bass Coast LGA, VIC, postcode 3984, with population 365.

The read

Growth-momentum

The page has enough signal to be useful, but the story is mixed rather than decisive. Use compare mode to pressure-test it against stronger nearby options, then use the calculator if it still makes the shortlist.

$544K
+10.7% YoY
2015 → 2024 · 8 periods
ABS + state medians
$544K
$216K
2015 2024
Why it fits

Gross yield screens at about 4.6%. Entry price sits in the lower-cost range for a first-pass screen. Recent price movement shows visible market momentum.

What to check

Small local population makes the signal set more fragile.

Median house
$544K
House median, latest period
10.7%YoY D3 vs AU
Median rent
$480/wk
Rent-led investor candidate
D10 vs AU
Gross yield
4.6%
Strong yield band
D10 vs AU
Population
44,377
44K via Bass Coast LGA · SAL undercount
Schools
No matched school data
Solar
1,816
117 added 12mo · 11MW

Price history

HousesUnits

Trend & investor depth

Indicative cashflow-$151/wk (-$7,827/yr) · interest-only @ 6.1%, 80% LVR

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection.

Affordability

Buying
10.9x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
50%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
High stress

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $1,170/mo, while renters pay about $2,080/mo — renting runs $910/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$544K
Household income · yr
$50K
Median rent · wk
$480
Owner mortgage · mo
$1,170
Gross yield
4.6%

Household income

$50K household · yr-39.3% vs VIC suburb median
Personal
$31K
Family
$63K
Household
$50K

Growth outlook · Bass Coast LGA

Dwellings
+27.2%
28,980 → 36,870
+7,890 dwellings
Population
+25.4%
40,640 → 50,960
Households
+29.7%
18,560 → 24,070

LGA-level official projection (Victoria in Future 2023, DTP). Indicative of the wider council area, not a suburb-level forecast.

Crime Year ending Dec 2025
3,822
8,622 per 100k
D9 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k8,622
Total incidents3,822· Year ending Dec 2025
  • Assault40148%
  • Sexual Offences12815%
  • Robbery61%
  • Break And Enter29335%

Full data detail

Pioneer Bay VIC — Property Data and Demographics

Pioneer Bay (postcode 3984) is a sparsely populated locality in Victoria within the Bass Coast local government area. The area has roughly 365 residents and an established family demographic, with a median age of 41. Households earn a median income of $50K per year, with an average household size of 2 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement into the broader catchment, with population growth running at +2.1% year-on-year at the LGA level. VIC employment has moved +0.9% year-on-year in the official Jobs and Skills Australia NERO series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. VIC also had 45 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 27 in planning as at 2 October 2024, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are technicians & trades, labourers, community & personal service. Employment in the area leans toward construction and healthcare. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Irish.

Pioneer Bay has a median house price of $544,000, which has risen steeply by 10.7% year-on-year. The current median weekly rent is $480. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 4.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,170.

Public transport access includes 2 bus stops. The crime rate in the Bass Coast LGA is higher than average at 8,622 incidents per 100,000 population.

From an investment perspective, The gross rental yield works out to roughly 4.6%, which reads as moderate yield. Property prices sit below the state median ($544K/$875K), which can point to relative value. The price-to-income ratio of 10.9x is considered stretched. House prices have moved +10.7% year-on-year. Population growth of +2.1% year-on-year points to strong growth demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield4.6%· Moderate Yield
Price vs State$544K/$875K Below Median
Affordability10.9x Stretched
Price Momentum+10.7% Rising
Pop. Growth+2.1% Strong Growth
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentVIC
Mortgage · mth$1,170
Rent · wk(Census)$280
Market rent · wk(Sep 2025)$480
Gross yield2.7%
Price / income10.9x
Population growth · Bass Coast LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)44,377
5-year growth+2.6% CAGR
YoY change+2.1%
20012025
Development · Bass Coast LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)260
Houses246
Units14
YoY change+0%
Employment · Bass Coast LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)3.3%
YoY change-0.6pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 3984ATO
Negatively geared180 (3.9% of filers)
Avg rental loss$6,813/yr
Landlords (rental income)398
Reported capital gains226
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population365
Median age41
Household size2
HH income · wk$961
Personal income · wk$604
Persons / bedroom0.7
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)1/10
Education (IEO)2/10
Economic (IER)1/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)1/10
Area & amenity
TransportGTFS
Bus stops2
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Pioneer Bay carries enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
Manual release files still matter here.

DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
VIC Property Sales Report · 2024 · DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.
medium stability · manual file · every update · quarterly
Available
Market rent
Homes Victoria · Sep 2025 · State market dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · quarterly
Available
Crime
VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Year ending Dec 2025 · Area-level release dataset
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · No local school matches exposed
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Missing
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 2 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Pioneer Bay FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Pioneer Bay in?

    Pioneer Bay is in the Bass Coast Local Government Area, VIC, postcode 3984. Council-level context for Bass Coast LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Pioneer Bay?

    The current median house price in Pioneer Bay, VIC is $544K, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Pioneer Bay?

    The median weekly rent in Pioneer Bay is $480/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent-led investor candidate.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Pioneer Bay?

    Rent-led investor candidate: Gross rent yield screens at about 4.6%. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Pioneer Bay a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Pioneer Bay show: Moderate Yield, Below Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Pioneer Bay?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Pioneer Bay data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.