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Suburb profile · Manawatu-Whanganui · NZ

Kelvin Grove North NZ

Kelvin Grove North is in Manawatu-Whanganui, New Zealand, with population 2,337.

The read

Growth-momentum

The page gives you enough to keep this suburb in view, but not enough to make a fast conviction call. Use compare mode or the region hub to see whether the mixed picture still holds up against alternatives.

$650/wk
1/01/2021 → 1/01/2026 · 20 periods
Tenancy Services · 1/01/2026
$750
$500
1/01/20211/01/2026
Why it fits

Approvals activity points to active development pressure. Transport coverage adds a practical access signal. Lower deprivation supports a livability-led read.

Median rent
$650/wk
Income-stretched rent market
D7 vs NZ
Population
2,337
2K local footprint
D6 vs NZ
Income
$51K/yr
Median personal income
D9 vs NZ
NZDep
Decile 1
Lower deprivation
D1 vs NZ
Schools
No matched schools

Area prices & affordability

Median sale price
$607K
+3.9% over 5yr
0.8%YoY
Lower quartile
$512K
Entry-level price
House Price Index
3,522
QV-based HPI
6.6%5yr
Income to buy
6.6x
Years of median income
Annual sales
1,603
Transactions, TA

Mortgage serviceability

at the 5.69% 2-year fixed rate
Monthly repayment
$2,815/mo
20% deposit, 30-year P&I
Repayment burden
37%
of gross household income
Stress level
Stretched
<30% comfortable · >45% severe
Years to deposit
8.9 yrs
20% deposit at 15% savings

Monthly repayment by fixed term

Floating · 6.15%
$2,958
1-year fixed · 5.26%
$2,685
2-year fixed · 5.69%
$2,815
3-year fixed · 5.86%
$2,868

A territorial-authority estimate: the Palmerston North City median sale price on a 20% deposit and 30-year loan, against the TA median household income implied by HUD's income-to-buy ratio, at RBNZ new-mortgage rates. A market-wide guide, not a Kelvin Grove North-specific or borrower-specific figure.

Price trend

1yr -0.2%5yr -12.0%
QV House Price Index (Jan 2007 = 1000)

QV House Price Index for the Palmerston North City territorial authority (monthly, Jan 2007 = 1000). A valuation-based index of price movement over time — distinct from the actual median sale price above.

Years of median household income to buy

Figures are for the Palmerston North City territorial authority (as at 2026-03). New Zealand has no free suburb-level sale-price series, so these are TA-wide medians from HUD Local Housing Statistics (LINZ District Valuation Roll + Stats NZ) — a market backdrop for Kelvin Grove North, not a Kelvin Grove North-specific sale price.

Rent trend depth

Rent cycle positionRents easing
Low · 2021Peak · 2022

13.3% below peak rent · 21.5% above its low

Rent growth (compound)3-yr +0.5%/yr · 5-yr +4.0%/yr

Rent trend is derived from MBIE tenancy-bond medians and excludes suburbs with too few bonds to be reliable.

Personal income

$51K personal · yr+37.9% vs Manawatu-Whanganui suburb median
Personal income distribution (Census 2023 · annual)
$10,000 or less
240
$10,001-$20,000
189
$20,001-$30,000
213
$30,001-$50,000
252
$50,001-$70,000
321
$70,001-$100,000
369
$100,001 or more
219

Median individual income. NZ has no suburb-level household-income or sale-price data, so this is a personal-income benchmark, not a household-affordability measure. Distribution covers people aged 15+ with stated income; counts are randomly rounded to base 3.

Housing stock and tenure

Home ownership over three censuses+0.4pp since 2013
2013
85% owned
2018
86% owned
2023
85% owned

4.1% of private dwellings were unoccupied on 2023 census night (holiday homes, empty rentals, and vacant stock).

Dwelling condition (occupied dwellings, self-reported)

7% damp (-1pp vs 2018) and 7% with visible mould larger than A4 (+2pp vs 2018).

Investor-specific data (gearing, investor concentration) is not published for NZ suburbs — the tenure trend above is the available investor signal.

Population outlook

89,800 people · 202394,100 by 2033 (+4.8%)

Stats NZ subnational projection (2023 base, medium series) for Palmerston North City — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Crime

Rate · per 100k8,545
Total incidents7,443· 2026-05
  • Assault89236%
  • Burglary1,41157%
  • Robbery874%
  • Sexual Assault763%

Natural hazards

Earthquake exposure
Moderate
Proximity to active faults
Nearest active fault
6.5 km
Forest Hill Road Fault

Earthquake exposure is the distance from Kelvin Grove North's centre to the nearest mapped active fault (GNS Science NZ Active Faults Database) — an area estimate, not a site-specific seismic assessment. NZ's full ground-shaking model (NSHM) is not available as a queryable map layer.

Short-term rentals

4
active listings · ~1.7 per 1,000 residents
100%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
50%
run by multi-listing operators

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Livability

48/ 100 livability index

Top 52% most liveable of 1,902New Zealand suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 48% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access62
Public transport (15 stops)81
Schools & hospitals0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within New Zealand suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Investment grade

Cgrade · 53/100 · top 47% of 65New Zealand districts
Peer distributionstronger than 53% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth13
Rental yield59
Stability83

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

District-level grade across New Zealand territorial authorities, combining 5-year price growth, rental yield (district median rent vs district median price), and stability (price-to-income level + affordability trajectory) via the same three-pillar method with an imbalance penalty. New Zealand has no free suburb-level prices, so this reflects your area's territorial authority. Within-New-Zealand relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Cheaper to rent

lower weekly rent · cross-TA

Alternatives are similar-rent suburbs (0.6–1.6x this suburb's median rent) in other territorial authorities that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Building activity

Latest consents
47
0 houses · 47 units
1466.7%YoY D10 vs NZ

Employment

Employed residents
1,278
Was 1,236 in 2018
3.4%vs 2018 D6 vs NZ

Full data detail

Kelvin Grove North Manawatu-Whanganui — Property Data and Demographics

Kelvin Grove North is a small suburb in Manawatu-Whanganui with a population of 2,337 and a median age of 37. Median personal income is $51K per year. The main ethnic groups are European, Asian, Māori. Manawatu-Whanganui population estimates moved +0.2% in the year ended June 2025, after moving +0.9% in 2024, which should be read as a broader regional movement backdrop rather than suburb-level migration precision. The resident employment base moved from 1,236 in 2018 to 1,278 in 2023 (+3.4%), which should be read as a census-to-census employment backdrop rather than a live jobs series. Te Waihanga's December 2025 Pipeline snapshot tracked over 12,000 NZ infrastructure initiatives, with more than 2,700 under construction and transport taking 52% of projected 2026 pipeline spend, which should be read as a broader national delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project list.

Median weekly rent in Kelvin Grove North is $650 (650 houses, 0 units). This represents approximately 67% of median weekly personal income.

Livability indicators for Kelvin Grove North: NZDep decile 1 (low deprivation (affluent)); 15 transport stops (15 bus).

In 2026, Kelvin Grove North recorded 47 building approvals (0 houses, 47 units), up 1466.7% year-on-year.

Market & money
Livability signalsHeuristics
Rent Affordability67% Stretched
DeprivationDecile 1 Low
Transport Access15 stops· Some Access
Development+1467% Accelerating
Rental marketMBIE
Median rent · wk(1/01/2026)$650
House · wk$650
Rent / income66.8%
Lodgements12
DevelopmentStats NZ
Consents (2026)47
Units47
YoY change+1466.7%
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 23
Population2,337
Median age37
Household size
HH income · yr
Personal income · yr$50,600
Deprivation (NZDep)NZDep23
Less deprived1/10
NZDep score909

1 = least deprived · 10 = most deprived

EthnicityCensus 23
European1,740
Asian441
Māori270
Pacific Peoples78
MELAA48
Top industriesCensus 23
Health Care and Social Assistance174
Education and Training153
Public Administration and Safety132
Professional, Scientific and Technical111
Retail Trade105
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets1
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations0
Cafes & dining0
countdown1
TransportGTFS
Bus stops15
Hospitals · Palmerston North CityMoH
Palmerston North HospitalPublic Hospital
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Kelvin Grove North for a first-pass decision.

NZ suburb pages combine Stats NZ, MBIE, MoE, GTFS, and pinned service coverage. The key difference is that some items are direct feeds, while others are fallback or snapshot layers.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using MBIE bond data when present.

Treat current rent as a decision input, not as a guaranteed market quote.

HOSPITAL POSTURE
Hospital coverage comes from an official pinned snapshot.

This is a trusted coverage layer, but it is still a pinned snapshot rather than a live facility API.

TRANSPORT POSTURE
Transport is feed-based and depends on GTFS bundle coverage.

It is good for stop presence and local network context, but not a guarantee that every operator or schedule is equally current.

Data status
Weekly rent
MBIE rental bond data · 1/01/2026 · Bond market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Schools
MoE school directory · No linked local school matches
stable source · automated · every update · nightly
Missing
Hospitals
Pinned Health NZ public hospital snapshot · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
NZ GTFS bundle · 15 matched stops
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Available
Building consents
Stats NZ building consents CSV · 2026 · Annual release series
Available
Demographic baseline
Stats NZ Census 2023 · Population, income, and demographic baseline
stable source · manual file · snapshot · census-cycle
Available
Available means a direct local source is linked. Verify means the page is using a weaker fallback or coverage-only snapshot, especially Census rent fallback or pinned hospital coverage.

Kelvin Grove North FAQ

Common questions
  1. What is the typical weekly rent in Kelvin Grove North?

    The median weekly rent in Kelvin Grove North is $650/wk, based on the MBIE market rent dataset. The current rent signal is income-stretched rent market.

  2. What does the rent signal say about Kelvin Grove North?

    Income-stretched rent market: Weekly rent screens at about 67% of annual income. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  3. What is the livability profile for Kelvin Grove North?

    QuickProperty's livability signals for Kelvin Grove North show: Stretched, Low, Some Access. These are based on rent affordability, school EQI, NZDep deprivation index, and transport access.

  4. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Kelvin Grove North?

    Housing data comes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Demographics are from Stats NZ Census 2023. Schools data uses the Ministry of Education Equity Index (EQI). The deprivation score uses NZDep2018. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  5. How often is the Kelvin Grove North data updated?

    RBNZ macro data updates with each deploy. Demographics are from NZ Census 2023. School EQI scores are from the Ministry of Education latest release.