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Suburb profile ·Canada Bay LGA · NSW ·2046

Canada Bay NSW 2046

Canada Bay is in Canada Bay LGA, NSW, postcode 2046, with population 1,308.

The read

Growth-momentum

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$920/wk
+10.2% YoY
Mar 2025 → Apr 2026 · 14 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2046 · Apr 2026
$920
$825
Mar 2025Apr 2026
Why it fits

Recent price movement shows visible market momentum. Higher SEIFA context supports a stronger local-quality read.

What to check

Premium pricing raises the bar for yield, affordability, and downside checks. Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$3.0M
House median, latest period
11.9%YoY D10 vs AU
Median rent
$920/wk
Rent-pressure candidate
10.2%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
1.6%
Low yield band
D3 vs AU
Population
1,308
1K local footprint
D8 vs AU
Schools
1
Matched school context
D1 vs AU
Solar
1,726
163 added 12mo · 13MW

Price history

HousesUnits

Houses to Q3'24 · Units to Q3'25 — house and unit medians are released on separate cycles, so their latest period can differ.

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionAt its peak
Low · 2006Peak · 2025

At / near its all-time high

Price growth (compound)3-yr +3.1%/yr · 5-yr +12.8%/yr · 10-yr +7.1%/yr
Indicative cashflow-$2,093/wk (-$108,812/yr) · interest-only @ 6.1%, 80% LVR

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection.

Affordability

Buying
23.1x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
37%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Stretched

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $3,033/mo, while renters pay about $3,987/mo — renting runs $954/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$2.96M
Household income · yr
$129K
Median rent · wk
$920
Owner mortgage · mo
$3,033
Gross yield
1.6%

Household income

$129K household · yr+56.2% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$55K
Family
$145K
Household
$129K

Schools

Total1
Avg ICSEA1057
Students78
Government1
  • Lucas Gardens SchoolSpecial · Government · ICSEA 1057
Crime January 2025 - December 2025
1,862
2,038 per 100k
D3 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k2,038
Total incidents1,862· January 2025 - December 2025
  • Assault39551%
  • Sexual Offences10213%
  • Robbery91%
  • Break And Enter26634%

Full data detail

Canada Bay NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Located in New South Wales within the Canada Bay local government area, Canada Bay is a close-knit residential community (postcode 2046). With a population of 1,308, the suburb has an established family demographic with a median age of 40. Households earn a median income of $129K per year, with an average household size of 2.7 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +0.7% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +0.3% year-on-year in the official Jobs and Skills Australia NERO series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 37 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 5 underway, and 75 in planning as at 2 October 2024, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, managers, clerical & administrative. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and education. The top ancestries reported are Italian, English, Australian.

The median house price in Canada Bay is $3.0 million, having surged by 11.9% over the past year. Units have a median price of $1.1 million (-6.4% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $920. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 1.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $3,033.

Canada Bay is served by 1 school, including 1 special. The average ICSEA score is 1057, which is above the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 4 bus stops. The crime rate in the Canada Bay LGA is below average at 2,038 incidents per 100,000 population.

On the investment side, Gross rental yield sits at around 1.6% (low yield). Property prices are above the state median ($3.0M/$1.5M), placing it in the premium segment. The price-to-income ratio of 23.1x is considered stretched. House prices have moved +11.9% year-on-year. Population growth of +0.7% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield1.6% Low Yield
Price vs State$3.0M/$1.5M Above Median
Affordability23.1x Stretched
Price Momentum+11.9% Rising
Pop. Growth+0.7%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$3,033
Rent · wk(Census)$550
Market rent · wk(2026-04)$920
Gross yield1.0%
Price / income23.1x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2024-Q3)5
Population growth · Canada Bay LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)93,006
5-year growth+0.3% CAGR
YoY change+0.7%
20012025
Development · Canada Bay LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)1,404
Houses75
Units1,329
YoY change+0%
Employment · Canada Bay LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)2.6%
YoY change+0.3pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2046ATO
Negatively geared2,100 (12.2% of filers)
Avg rental loss$13,518/yr
Landlords (rental income)4,544
Reported capital gains2,330
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population1,308
Median age40
Household size2.7
HH income · wk$2,473
Personal income · wk$1,056
Persons / bedroom0.9
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)8/10
Education (IEO)10/10
Economic (IER)7/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)10/10
Area & amenity
TransportGTFS
Bus stops4
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Canada Bay for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2024-Q3 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-04 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · January 2025 - December 2025 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 1 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 4 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Canada Bay FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Canada Bay in?

    Canada Bay is in the Canada Bay Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2046. Council-level context for Canada Bay LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Canada Bay?

    The current median house price in Canada Bay, NSW is $3.0M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Canada Bay?

    The median weekly rent in Canada Bay is $920/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent-pressure candidate.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Canada Bay?

    Rent-pressure candidate: Canada Bay rents screen above the local benchmark. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Canada Bay a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Canada Bay show: Low Yield, Above Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Canada Bay?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Canada Bay data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.