Skip to content
Suburb profile ·Georges River LGA · NSW ·2218

Carlton NSW 2218

Carlton is in Georges River LGA, NSW, postcode 2218, with population 10,631.

The read

Premium-market

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$700/wk
Flat
+0.0% YoY
Mar 2025 → May 2026 · 15 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2218 · May 2026
$700
$675
Mar 2025May 2026
Why it fits

Transport coverage adds a practical access signal.

What to check

Premium pricing raises the bar for yield, affordability, and downside checks. Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$1.9M
House median, latest period
3.8%YoY D9 vs AU
Median rent
$700/wk
Rent context available
0.0%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
1.9%
Low yield band
D5 vs AU
Population
10,631
11K local footprint
D10 vs AU
Schools
1
Matched school context
D1 vs AU
Drive to city
24 min
20.6 km to Sydney CBD · free-flow
Transit to city
55 min
Public transport to Sydney CBD · weekday 8am
Solar
819
66 added 12mo · 6MW
Price cycleAt its peak
LowPeak

At / near its all-time high

See trend depth →

Price history

Houses to Q3'25 · Units to Q4'25 — house and unit medians are released on separate cycles, so their latest period can differ.

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionAt its peak
Low · 2006Peak · 2026

At / near its all-time high

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+5.0%
5-yr
+4.8%
10-yr
+4.5%
Indicative cashflow-$1,287/wk (-$66,940/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Market turnover4.2% of homes traded/yr (165 sales · +14% vs 3-yr avg)
Rent stabilitystable — rents vary ±1.5% around trend (short window, 15 pts)
Value vs advantage+142% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 4)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Fgrade · 16/100 · top 84% of 3,605AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 16% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth16
Rental yield16
Stability72
Volatility-9.1ppCycle-2.0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in Carlton

Owner-occupied 61%Rented 39%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared8.5%
929 of 1,947 landlords
Avg rental loss$10,956/yr
Landlords (rental income)1,947
Reported capital gains813
Investor exposure index(moderate vs national)58.8/100
The read

Mixed owner-renter market

60% of homes here are owner-occupied and 37% rented, with 9% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

A balanced 60% owner-occupier / 37% renter mix.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

113%
of household income to service a new loan
26.2 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $9,113/mo vs median rent $3,033/mo (+200% · +$1403/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $7,257/mo (-1,856) · at 6.0% (current): $9,113/mo · at 8.0%: $11,153/mo (+2,040)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
19.6x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
38%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Stretched

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $2,167/mo, while renters pay about $3,033/mo — renting runs $866/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$1.90M
Household income · yr
$97K
Median rent · wk
$700
Owner mortgage · mo
$2,167
Gross yield
1.9%

Household income

$97K household · yr+17.5% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$40K
Family
$108K
Household
$97K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)fewer than 14% could service the median house
Under $300
158
$300-649
381
$650-999
411
$1,000-1,499
518
$1,500-1,999
427
$2,000-2,999
770
$3,000-3,999
373
$4,000+
504

Serviceability line: a household needs about $7,010/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 62% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $2,333/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (3,764 households)2.4% social housing
Owned outright
31%
Owned with mortgage
29%
Rented
37%
Dwelling structure7.6% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
47%
Townhouse / semi
6%
Flat / apartment
45%

Getting to work: 41% drive, 9% public transport, 4% walk or cycle, 41% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Schools

Total1
Avg ICSEA1064
Students514
Government1
  • Carlton South Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1064Zoned

1 of 1 schools here operate published enrolment zones (catchments). Zone boundaries set eligibility — check the official source for the exact catchment. Not enrolment advice.

Livability

62/ 100 livability index

Top 38% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 62% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access71
Public transport (31 stops)69
Schools & hospitals25

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime April 2025 - March 2026
3,268
2,022 per 100k
D3 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k2,022
Total incidents3,268· April 2025 - March 2026
  • Assault83765%
  • Sexual Offences17313%
  • Robbery141%
  • Break And Enter26521%

Bushfire exposure

No mapped exposure ~0.0%
~0.0% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Short-term rentals

10
active listings · ~0.9 per 1,000 residents
10%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
80%
run by multi-listing operators

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Low Density Residential
Residential 80% Industrial 6% Other 6% Public / Open space 2% Commercial / Mixed 2%
Residential density: Low · 15% growth-zoned

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Population outlook

16,361 people · 202218,694 by 2032 (+14.3%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Kogarah Bay - Carlton - Allawah SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Carlton NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Located in New South Wales within the Georges River local government area, Carlton is a well-established suburb (postcode 2218). The area has roughly 10,631 residents and an established family demographic, with a median age of 38. Households earn a median income of $97K per year, with an average household size of 2.7 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +1.3% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, clerical & administrative, managers. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and retail trade. The top ancestries reported are Chinese, Australian, English.

Carlton has a median house price of $1.9 million, which has risen by 3.8% year-on-year. Units have a median price of $788,000 (-1.7% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $700. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 1.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,167.

Carlton is served by 1 school, including 1 primary. The average ICSEA score is 1064, which is above the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 4 rail stations, 27 bus stops. The crime rate in the Georges River LGA is below average at 2,022 incidents per 100,000 population.

Looking at the investment signals, Carlton shows a gross rental yield of approximately 1.9%, rated as low yield. Property prices are near the state median ($1.9M/$1.5M). The price-to-income ratio of 19.6x is considered stretched. House prices have moved +3.8% year-on-year. Population growth of +1.3% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield1.9% Low Yield
Price vs State$1.9M/$1.5M· Near Median
Affordability19.6x Stretched
Price Momentum+3.8%· Stable
Pop. Growth+1.3%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$2,167
Rent · wk(Census)$450
Market rent · wk(2026-05)$700
Gross yield1.2%
Price / income19.6x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2025-Q3)14
Population growth · Georges River LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)163,919
5-year growth+1% CAGR
YoY change+1.3%
20012025
Development · Georges River LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)518
Houses 34%Units 66%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Georges River LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)2.7%
YoY change+0.1pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2218ATO
Negatively geared8.5%
929 of filers
Avg rental loss$10,956/yr
Landlords (rental income)1,947
Reported capital gains813
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population10,631
Median age38
Household size2.7
HH income · wk$1,860
Personal income · wk$762
Persons / bedroom1
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)4/10
Education (IEO)8/10
Economic (IER)3/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)7/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$1,600 → $1,860
Change+16.2%
vs NSW median-4.4 pp
Median rent+2.3%
stablevs NSW 2016–21
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets2
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics1
Fuel stations4
Cafes & dining5
aldi1
TransportGTFS
Rail stations4
Bus stops27
Andover St After Railway Pde
Andover St Before Railway Pde
FTB Railway Pde
Railway Pde Opp Hamilton St
Hospitals · Georges River LGAAIHW
Public1
Private3
Calvary Health Care - Sydneypublic
Hurstville Privateprivate
Vision Day Surgery Hurstvilleprivate
Waratah Private Hospitalprivate
Aged care · Georges River LGAGEN
Facilities17
Residential places1,476
Ferndale Gardens Aged Care Facility136 places
Georges Estate Health & Aged Care121 places
Uniting Banks Lodge Peakhurst114 places
Peakhurst Nursing Home110 places
Regis Hurstville110 places
Blakehurst Aged Care Centre107 places
+11 more in Georges River LGA
Childcare · Georges River LGAACECQA
Services98
Approved places5,253
Exceeding NQS16
Kogarah Community Services Inc145 places · in suburb
The Grove Academy - Oatley132 places
3Bridges Community Penshurst130 places
Oatley Adventure OSHC130 places
Rise & Shine Kindergarten - Kogarah112 places
Attunga Cottage Before and After School Care105 places
+92 more in Georges River LGA
Shortlist workspace

Save suburbs here while you browse. Once the shortlist has two or more names, hand it straight into compare.

Current status
Add Carlton if it deserves a shortlist slot.

No saved AU suburbs yet.

EMPTY SET

No saved suburbs yet. Start with one ranking or suburb page, then compare once you have two candidates.

Open rankings to save the first candidates.

Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Carlton carries enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2025-Q3 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-05 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · April 2025 - March 2026 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 1 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 31 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Carlton FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Carlton in?

    Carlton is in the Georges River Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2218. Council-level context for Georges River LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Carlton?

    The current median house price in Carlton, NSW is $1.9M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Carlton?

    The median weekly rent in Carlton is $700/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent context available.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Carlton?

    Rent context available: Carlton has usable rent context. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Carlton a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Carlton show: Low Yield, Near Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Carlton?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Carlton data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.