Skip to content
Suburb profile ·Bayside (NSW) LGA · NSW ·2205

Arncliffe NSW 2205

Arncliffe is in Bayside (NSW) LGA, NSW, postcode 2205, with population 12,023.

The read

Premium-market

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$830/wk
Flat
+0.0% YoY
Mar 2025 → May 2026 · 15 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2205 · May 2026
$880
$820
Mar 2025May 2026
Why it fits

School coverage gives the page a stronger family/livability signal. Transport coverage adds a practical access signal.

What to check

Premium pricing raises the bar for yield, affordability, and downside checks. Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$1.9M
House median, latest period
1.2%YoY D9 vs AU
Median rent
$830/wk
Income-stretched rent market
0.0%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
2.3%
Low yield band
D7 vs AU
Population
12,023
12K local footprint
D10 vs AU
Schools
6
Matched school context
D10 vs AU
Drive to city
17 min
14.9 km to Sydney CBD · free-flow
Transit to city
40 min
Public transport to Sydney CBD · weekday 8am
Solar
790
68 added 12mo · 6MW
Price cycleAt its peak
LowPeak

At / near its all-time high

See trend depth →

Price history

Houses to Q1'26 · Units to Q2'26 — house and unit medians are released on separate cycles, so their latest period can differ.

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionAt its peak
Low · 2005Peak · 2026

At / near its all-time high

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+4.6%
5-yr
+3.4%
10-yr
+4.5%
Affordability trajectoryImproving
Price
+4.4%/yr
Income
+5.7%/yr

Growth in median price vs median household income — improving — incomes outgrowing prices.

Indicative cashflow-$1,144/wk (-$59,464/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Market turnover2.6% of homes traded/yr (116 sales · -54% vs 3-yr avg)
Rent stabilitystable — rents vary ±1.9% around trend (short window, 15 pts)
Value vs advantage+135% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 4)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Fgrade · 19/100 · top 81% of 3,605AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 19% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth12
Rental yield28
Stability73
Volatility-10.5ppCycle-2.0Affordability+1.5

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in Arncliffe

Owner-occupied 58%Rented 42%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared7.7%
1,313 of 2,313 landlords
Avg rental loss$10,657/yr
Landlords (rental income)2,313
Reported capital gains1,403
Investor exposure index(moderate vs national)60.3/100
The read

Mixed owner-renter market

56% of homes here are owner-occupied and 40% rented, with 8% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

A balanced 56% owner-occupier / 40% renter mix.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

100%
of household income to service a new loan
23.2 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $8,881/mo vs median rent $3,597/mo (+147% · +$1219/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $7,071/mo (-1,809) · at 6.0% (current): $8,881/mo · at 8.0%: $10,869/mo (+1,988)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
17.4x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
41%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
High stress

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $2,319/mo, while renters pay about $3,597/mo — renting runs $1,278/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$1.85M
Household income · yr
$106K
Median rent · wk
$830
Owner mortgage · mo
$2,319
Gross yield
2.3%

Household income

$106K household · yr+29.2% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$45K
Family
$115K
Household
$106K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)fewer than 15% could service the median house
Under $300
160
$300-649
361
$650-999
377
$1,000-1,499
471
$1,500-1,999
502
$2,000-2,999
892
$3,000-3,999
501
$4,000+
561

Serviceability line: a household needs about $6,831/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 68% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $2,767/wk income).

Median taxable income trend (ATO, 2018-19 – 2022-23)$45K → $56K

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (4,063 households)3.3% social housing
Owned outright
24%
Owned with mortgage
32%
Rented
40%
Dwelling structure10.9% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
40%
Townhouse / semi
11%
Flat / apartment
48%

Getting to work: 41% drive, 9% public transport, 2% walk or cycle, 43% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Schools

Total6
Avg ICSEA1053
Students1,997
Catholic1
Government3
Independent2
  • Arncliffe West Infants SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1058Zoned
  • Athelstane Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1003
  • Arncliffe Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1028
  • St Francis Xavier's Catholic Primary SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 1116Zoned
  • Al Zahra CollegeCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1032
  • Kingdom Culture Christian SchoolCombined · Independent · ICSEA 1082Zoned

3 of 6 schools here operate published enrolment zones (catchments). Zone boundaries set eligibility — check the official source for the exact catchment. Not enrolment advice.

Livability

85/ 100 livability index

Top 15% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 85% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access80
Public transport (23 stops)59
Schools & hospitals92

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime April 2025 - March 2026
4,378
2,355 per 100k
D4 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k2,355
Total incidents4,378· April 2025 - March 2026
  • Assault1,01265%
  • Sexual Offences23915%
  • Robbery181%
  • Break And Enter29719%

Bushfire exposure

No mapped exposure ~0.0%
~0.0% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Short-term rentals

58
active listings · ~4.8 per 1,000 residents
45%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
64%
run by multi-listing operators

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Low Density Residential
Residential 41% Public / Open space 21% Other 14% Commercial / Mixed 7%
Residential density: Low · 5% growth-zoned

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Population outlook

16,751 people · 202221,227 by 2032 (+26.7%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Arncliffe - Bardwell Valley SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Arncliffe NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Arncliffe is a settled mid-to-large suburb in New South Wales within the Bayside (NSW) local government area (postcode 2205). The area has roughly 12,023 residents and a blend of families and working-age professionals, with a median age of 34. Households earn a median income of $106K per year, with an average household size of 2.7 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +0.9% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, clerical & administrative, managers. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and professional services. The top ancestries reported are Australian, English, Lebanese.

Median house prices in Arncliffe stand at $1.9 million, having ticked up by 1.2% over the last twelve months. Units have a median price of $765,000 (-2.1% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $830. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 2.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,319.

Arncliffe is served by 6 schools, including 4 primary, 2 combined. The average ICSEA score is 1053, which is above the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 2 rail stations, 21 bus stops. The crime rate in the Bayside (NSW) LGA is below average at 2,355 incidents per 100,000 population.

From an investment perspective, Gross rental yield sits at around 2.3% (low yield). Property prices are near the state median ($1.9M/$1.5M). The price-to-income ratio of 17.4x is considered stretched. House prices have moved +1.2% year-on-year. Population growth of +0.9% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield2.3% Low Yield
Price vs State$1.9M/$1.5M· Near Median
Affordability17.4x Stretched
Price Momentum+1.2%· Stable
Pop. Growth+0.9%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$2,319
Rent · wk(Census)$500
Market rent · wk(2026-05)$830
Gross yield1.4%
Price / income17.4x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2026-Q1)6
Population growth · Bayside (NSW) LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)187,770
5-year growth+1.3% CAGR
YoY change+0.9%
20012025
Development · Bayside (NSW) LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)590
Houses 22%Units 78%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Bayside (NSW) LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)3.3%
YoY change+0.1pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2205ATO
Negatively geared7.7%
1,313 of filers
Avg rental loss$10,657/yr
Landlords (rental income)2,313
Reported capital gains1,403
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population12,023
Median age34
Household size2.7
HH income · wk$2,046
Personal income · wk$856
Persons / bedroom1.1
IncomeATO 22-23
Median income$56,300
Mean income$69,777
Earners11,496
YoY change+6.9%
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)4/10
Education (IEO)9/10
Economic (IER)3/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)8/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$1,657 → $2,046
Change+23.5%
vs NSW median+2.9 pp
Median rent+0%
stablevs NSW 2016–21
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets1
Pharmacies3
GP / clinics1
Fuel stations3
Cafes & dining13
iga1
TransportGTFS
Rail stations2
Bus stops21
Arncliffe Fire Station, West Botany St
West Botany St Opp Arncliffe Fire Station
Hospitals · Bayside (NSW) LGAAIHW
Public1
Private3
St George Hospital NSWpublic
Aesthetic Day Surgeryprivate
St George Private Hospitalprivate
Wesley Hospital Kogarahprivate
Aged care · Bayside (NSW) LGAGEN
Facilities20
Residential places1,554
Huntingdon Gardens Aged Care Facility171 places
Estia Health Bexley Park146 places
Macquarie Lodge Aged Care Plus Centre130 places · in suburb
Heritage Botany112 places
Scalabrini Village Nursing Home (Bexley)110 places
St Patrick's Green96 places
+14 more in Bayside (NSW) LGA
Childcare · Bayside (NSW) LGAACECQA
Services120
Approved places6,882
Exceeding NQS23
SCECS OSHC St Therese Mascot164 places
Star Club139 places
Bexley North Public School P and C Before and After Child Care Centre120 places
Daceyville OSHClub120 places
Ramsgate Out of School Hours Care Centre Inc120 places
SCECS OSHC St Francis Xavier's Arncliffe120 places · in suburb
+114 more in Bayside (NSW) LGA
Shortlist workspace

Save suburbs here while you browse. Once the shortlist has two or more names, hand it straight into compare.

Current status
Add Arncliffe if it deserves a shortlist slot.

No saved AU suburbs yet.

EMPTY SET

No saved suburbs yet. Start with one ranking or suburb page, then compare once you have two candidates.

Open rankings to save the first candidates.

Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Arncliffe carries enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2026-Q1 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-05 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · April 2025 - March 2026 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 6 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 23 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Arncliffe FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Arncliffe in?

    Arncliffe is in the Bayside (NSW) Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2205. Council-level context for Bayside (NSW) LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Arncliffe?

    The current median house price in Arncliffe, NSW is $1.9M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Arncliffe?

    The median weekly rent in Arncliffe is $830/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is income-stretched rent market.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Arncliffe?

    Income-stretched rent market: Weekly rent screens at about 77% of annual income. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Arncliffe a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Arncliffe show: Low Yield, Near Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Arncliffe?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Arncliffe data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.