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Suburb profile ·Cardinia LGA · VIC ·3810

Pakenham VIC 3810

Pakenham is in Cardinia LGA, VIC, postcode 3810, with population 54,118.

The read

Growth-momentum

The page has enough signal to be useful, but the story is mixed rather than decisive. Use compare mode to pressure-test it against stronger nearby options, then use the calculator if it still makes the shortlist.

$540/wk
+5.9% YoY
Dec 2020 → Sep 2025 · 20 periods
Homes Victoria · Sep 2025
$540
$360
Dec 2020Sep 2025
Why it fits

Population scale is large enough to avoid reading this as a tiny locality only. Population movement supports a growth-led read. School coverage gives the page a stronger family/livability signal.

Median house
$666K
House median, latest period
1.7%YoY D4 vs AU
Median rent
$540/wk
Income-stretched rent market
5.9%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
4.2%
Moderate yield band
D10 vs AU
Population
54,118
54K local footprint
D10 vs AU
Schools
12
Matched school context
D10 vs AU
Solar
8,420
474 added 12mo · 55MW

Price history

HousesUnitsVacant land

Trend & investor depth

Indicative cashflow-$220/wk (-$11,441/yr) · interest-only @ 6.1%, 80% LVR

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection.

Affordability

Buying
7.7x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Moderate
Renting
32%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Stretched

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $1,733/mo, while renters pay about $2,340/mo — renting runs $607/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$666K
Household income · yr
$87K
Median rent · wk
$540
Owner mortgage · mo
$1,733
Gross yield
4.2%

Household income

$87K household · yr+5.1% vs VIC suburb median
Personal
$41K
Family
$98K
Household
$87K

Growth outlook · Cardinia LGA

Dwellings
+51.5%
43,530 → 65,930
+22,400 dwellings
Population
+49.4%
119,520 → 178,610
Households
+52.3%
42,610 → 64,900

LGA-level official projection (Victoria in Future 2023, DTP). Indicative of the wider council area, not a suburb-level forecast.

Schools

Total12
Avg ICSEA1000
Students9,574
Catholic1
Government9
Independent2
  • Pakenham Hills Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 978
  • Pakenham Lakeside Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1007Zoned
  • Pakenham Springs Primary SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 995
  • Pakenham Consolidated SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 965Zoned
  • Pakenham Secondary CollegeSecondary · Government · ICSEA 962
  • St Patrick's SchoolPrimary · Catholic · ICSEA 982

3 of 12 schools here operate published enrolment zones (catchments). Zone boundaries set eligibility — check the official source for the exact catchment. Not enrolment advice.

Crime Year ending Dec 2025
9,665
7,195 per 100k
D8 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k7,195
Total incidents9,665· Year ending Dec 2025
  • Assault87147%
  • Sexual Offences29416%
  • Robbery764%
  • Break And Enter60733%

Full data detail

Pakenham VIC — Property Data and Demographics

Pakenham is a large, densely settled suburb in Victoria within the Cardinia local government area (postcode 3810). It is home to about 54,118 residents, with a mix of families and early-career residents and a median age of 33. Households earn a median income of $87K per year, with an average household size of 2.8 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement into the broader catchment, with population growth running at +2.6% year-on-year at the LGA level. VIC employment has moved +0.9% year-on-year in the official Jobs and Skills Australia NERO series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. VIC also had 45 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 27 in planning as at 2 October 2024, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are technicians & trades, professionals, community & personal service. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and construction. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Scottish.

Pakenham has a median house price of $666,000, which has ticked up by 1.7% year-on-year. Units have a median price of $488,000 (-0.4% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $540. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 4.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $1,733.

Pakenham is served by 12 schools, including 8 primary, 2 secondary, 2 combined. The average ICSEA score is 1000, which is around the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 13 rail stations, 171 bus stops. The crime rate in the Cardinia LGA is moderate at 7,195 incidents per 100,000 population.

On the investment side, The gross rental yield works out to roughly 4.2%, which reads as moderate yield. Property prices are near the state median ($666K/$875K). The price-to-income ratio of 7.7x is considered moderate. House prices have moved +1.7% year-on-year. Population growth of +2.6% year-on-year points to strong growth demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield4.2%· Moderate Yield
Price vs State$666K/$875K· Near Median
Affordability7.7x· Moderate
Price Momentum+1.7%· Stable
Pop. Growth+2.6% Strong Growth
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentVIC
Mortgage · mth$1,733
Rent · wk(Census)$351
Market rent · wk(Sep 2025)$540
Gross yield2.7%
Price / income7.7x
Population growth · Cardinia LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)133,472
5-year growth+2.8% CAGR
YoY change+2.6%
20012025
Development · Cardinia LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)980
Houses863
Units117
YoY change+0%
Employment · Cardinia LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)4.2%
YoY change+0.6pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 3810ATO
Negatively geared1,807 (5.4% of filers)
Avg rental loss$8,049/yr
Landlords (rental income)2,584
Reported capital gains1,460
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population54,118
Median age33
Household size2.8
HH income · wk$1,664
Personal income · wk$783
Persons / bedroom0.8
IncomeATO 22-23
Median income$56,076
Mean income$61,877
Earners16,995
YoY change+5.7%
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)4/10
Education (IEO)4/10
Economic (IER)4/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)4/10
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets10
Pharmacies2
GP / clinics4
Fuel stations10
Cafes & dining35
aldi1
coles4
woolworths2
TransportGTFS
Rail stations13
Bus stops171
Cardinia Road Station/The Parkway
Cardinia Road Station/Village Way
East Pakenham Station
East Pakenham Station/Sharnet Cct
Pakenham Station
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Pakenham for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
Manual release files still matter here.

DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
VIC Property Sales Report · 2025 · DataVic-discovered annual suburb price workbooks parsed into suburb prices. Quarterly VIC resources are discovered and cached, but not yet used as current-price anchors.
medium stability · manual file · every update · quarterly
Available
Market rent
Homes Victoria · Sep 2025 · State market dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · quarterly
Available
Crime
VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Year ending Dec 2025 · Area-level release dataset
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 12 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 184 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Pakenham FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Pakenham in?

    Pakenham is in the Cardinia Local Government Area, VIC, postcode 3810. Council-level context for Cardinia LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Pakenham?

    The current median house price in Pakenham, VIC is $666K, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Pakenham?

    The median weekly rent in Pakenham is $540/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is income-stretched rent market.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Pakenham?

    Income-stretched rent market: Weekly rent screens at about 50% of annual income. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Pakenham a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Pakenham show: Moderate Yield, Near Median, Moderate. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Pakenham?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Pakenham data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.