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Suburb profile · Northland · NZ

Mangawhai Rural NZ

Mangawhai Rural is in Northland, New Zealand, with population 2,940.

The read

Livability-led

There are enough weaker signals here that you should expect trade-offs, not a clean local story. Compare it directly with stronger nearby suburbs before treating it as a preferred option.

$550/wk
1/01/2021 → 1/01/2026 · 20 periods
Tenancy Services · 1/01/2026
$715
$490
1/01/20211/01/2026
Why it fits

Lower deprivation supports a livability-led read.

Median rent
$550/wk
Income-stretched rent market
D4 vs NZ
Population
2,940
3K local footprint
D8 vs NZ
Income
$35K/yr
Median personal income
D3 vs NZ
NZDep
Decile 4
Mid-range deprivation
D4 vs NZ
Schools
1
matched school context

Area prices & affordability

Median sale price
$682K
+8.3% over 5yr
7.4%YoY
Lower quartile
$517K
Entry-level price
House Price Index
4,009
QV-based HPI
8.0%5yr
Income to buy
10.6x
Years of median income
Annual sales
305
Transactions, TA

Mortgage serviceability

at the 5.69% 2-year fixed rate
Monthly repayment
$3,163/mo
20% deposit, 30-year P&I
Repayment burden
59%
of gross household income
Stress level
Severe
<30% comfortable · >45% severe
Years to deposit
14.2 yrs
20% deposit at 15% savings

Monthly repayment by fixed term

Floating · 6.15%
$3,324
1-year fixed · 5.26%
$3,016
2-year fixed · 5.69%
$3,163
3-year fixed · 5.86%
$3,222

A territorial-authority estimate: the Kaipara District median sale price on a 20% deposit and 30-year loan, against the TA median household income implied by HUD's income-to-buy ratio, at RBNZ new-mortgage rates. A market-wide guide, not a Mangawhai Rural-specific or borrower-specific figure.

Price trend

1yr -1.7%5yr +5.6%
QV House Price Index (Jan 2007 = 1000)

QV House Price Index for the Kaipara District territorial authority (monthly, Jan 2007 = 1000). A valuation-based index of price movement over time — distinct from the actual median sale price above.

Years of median household income to buy

Figures are for the Kaipara District territorial authority (as at 2026-03). New Zealand has no free suburb-level sale-price series, so these are TA-wide medians from HUD Local Housing Statistics (LINZ District Valuation Roll + Stats NZ) — a market backdrop for Mangawhai Rural, not a Mangawhai Rural-specific sale price.

Rent trend depth

Rent cycle positionRents easing
Low · 2020Peak · 2024

22.5% below peak rent · 22.2% above its low

Rent growth (compound)3-yr -3.9%/yr · 5-yr -1.7%/yr

Rent trend is derived from MBIE tenancy-bond medians and excludes suburbs with too few bonds to be reliable.

Personal income

$35K personal · yr+4.5% vs Northland suburb median
Personal income distribution (Census 2023 · annual)
$10,000 or less
339
$10,001-$20,000
306
$20,001-$30,000
441
$30,001-$50,000
423
$50,001-$70,000
342
$70,001-$100,000
285
$100,001 or more
282

Median individual income. NZ has no suburb-level household-income or sale-price data, so this is a personal-income benchmark, not a household-affordability measure. Distribution covers people aged 15+ with stated income; counts are randomly rounded to base 3.

Housing stock and tenure

Home ownership over three censuses+6.5pp since 2013
2013
78% owned
2018
83% owned
2023
85% owned

20.2% of private dwellings were unoccupied on 2023 census night (holiday homes, empty rentals, and vacant stock).

Dwelling condition (occupied dwellings, self-reported)

12% damp (-2pp vs 2018) and 10% with visible mould larger than A4 (-1pp vs 2018).

Investor-specific data (gearing, investor concentration) is not published for NZ suburbs — the tenure trend above is the available investor signal.

Population outlook

26,300 people · 202330,100 by 2033 (+14.4%)

Stats NZ subnational projection (2023 base, medium series) for Kaipara District — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Crime

Rate · per 100k3,685
Total incidents954· 2026-05
  • Assault10111%
  • Burglary33035%
  • Robbery101%
  • Theft50353%

Natural hazards

Earthquake exposure
Minimal
Proximity to active faults
Nearest active fault
103.3 km
Waikopua Fault
Fault slip rate
Very Low
Higher = more active

Earthquake exposure is the distance from Mangawhai Rural's centre to the nearest mapped active fault (GNS Science NZ Active Faults Database) — an area estimate, not a site-specific seismic assessment. NZ's full ground-shaking model (NSHM) is not available as a queryable map layer.

Short-term rentals

138
active listings · ~46.9 per 1,000 residents
98%
entire homes (vs private rooms)
30%
run by multi-listing operators
Investment view Estimated
$334
median nightly (entire home)
12%
estimated occupancy
$16,294
estimated annual revenue (gross)

Active Airbnb listings point-mapped to this suburb from Inside Airbnb (CC BY 4.0). Occupancy and revenue are estimates from Inside Airbnb's San Francisco model (review-rate proxy, minimum-stay assumption, occupancy capped at 70%) — they are gross, indicative, and not a guarantee of returns. Short-stay letting is subject to state and local regulation.

Schools

Total1
Students36
Private : Fully Registered1
  • Mangawhai Hills CollegeComposite · Private : Fully Registered

Livability

24/ 100 livability index

Top 76% most liveable of 1,902New Zealand suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 24% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access67
Public transport0
Schools & hospitals32

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within New Zealand suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Investment grade

Fgrade · 8/100 · top 92% of 65New Zealand districts
Peer distributionstronger than 8% of New Zealand districts
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth20
Rental yield34
Stability13

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

District-level grade across New Zealand territorial authorities, combining 5-year price growth, rental yield (district median rent vs district median price), and stability (price-to-income level + affordability trajectory) via the same three-pillar method with an imbalance penalty. New Zealand has no free suburb-level prices, so this reflects your area's territorial authority. Within-New-Zealand relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Cheaper to rent

lower weekly rent · cross-TA

Higher income

personal median · cross-TA

Less deprived

lower NZDep decile · cross-TA

Alternatives are similar-rent suburbs (0.6–1.6x this suburb's median rent) in other territorial authorities that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Building activity

Latest consents
15
14 houses · 1 units
58.3%YoY D9 vs NZ

Employment

Employed residents
1,473
Was 1,101 in 2018
33.8%vs 2018 D8 vs NZ

Full data detail

Mangawhai Rural Northland — Property Data and Demographics

Mangawhai Rural is a small suburb in Northland with a population of 2,940 and a median age of 49. Median personal income is $35K per year. The main ethnic groups are European, Māori, Pacific Peoples. Northland population estimates moved +0.4% in the year ended June 2025, after moving +1.0% in 2024, which should be read as a broader regional movement backdrop rather than suburb-level migration precision. The resident employment base moved from 1,101 in 2018 to 1,473 in 2023 (+33.8%), which should be read as a census-to-census employment backdrop rather than a live jobs series. Te Waihanga's December 2025 Pipeline snapshot tracked over 12,000 NZ infrastructure initiatives, with more than 2,700 under construction and transport taking 52% of projected 2026 pipeline spend, which should be read as a broader national delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project list.

Median weekly rent in Mangawhai Rural is $550 (550 houses, 0 units). This represents approximately 81% of median weekly personal income.

Livability indicators for Mangawhai Rural: NZDep decile 4 (moderate deprivation); 1 school with avg EQI 0.

In 2026, Mangawhai Rural recorded 15 building approvals (14 houses, 1 unit), down 58.3% year-on-year.

Market & money
Livability signalsHeuristics
Rent Affordability81% Stretched
DeprivationDecile 4· Moderate
Development-58% Slowing
Rental marketMBIE
Median rent · wk(1/01/2026)$550
House · wk$550
Rent / income81.3%
Lodgements27
DevelopmentStats NZ
Consents (2026)15
Houses 93%Units 7%
YoY change-58.3%
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 23
Population2,940
Median age49
Household size
HH income · yr
Personal income · yr$35,200
Deprivation (NZDep)NZDep23
Less deprived4/10
NZDep score952

1 = least deprived · 10 = most deprived

EthnicityCensus 23
European2,766
Māori363
Pacific Peoples102
Asian69
MELAA21
Top industriesCensus 23
Construction294
Professional, Scientific and Technical198
Retail Trade144
Education and Training108
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing87
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets1
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations1
Cafes & dining2
new world1
Hospitals · Kaipara DistrictMoH
Dargaville HospitalPublic Hospital
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Mangawhai Rural for a first-pass decision.

NZ suburb pages combine Stats NZ, MBIE, MoE, GTFS, and pinned service coverage. The key difference is that some items are direct feeds, while others are fallback or snapshot layers.

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using MBIE bond data when present.

Treat current rent as a decision input, not as a guaranteed market quote.

HOSPITAL POSTURE
Hospital coverage comes from an official pinned snapshot.

This is a trusted coverage layer, but it is still a pinned snapshot rather than a live facility API.

TRANSPORT POSTURE
Transport is feed-based and depends on GTFS bundle coverage.

It is good for stop presence and local network context, but not a guarantee that every operator or schedule is equally current.

Data status
Weekly rent
MBIE rental bond data · 1/01/2026 · Bond market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Schools
MoE school directory · 1 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · nightly
Available
Hospitals
Pinned Health NZ public hospital snapshot · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
NZ GTFS bundle · No matched local transport stops
medium stability · mixed acquisition · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Building consents
Stats NZ building consents CSV · 2026 · Annual release series
Available
Demographic baseline
Stats NZ Census 2023 · Population, income, and demographic baseline
stable source · manual file · snapshot · census-cycle
Available
Available means a direct local source is linked. Verify means the page is using a weaker fallback or coverage-only snapshot, especially Census rent fallback or pinned hospital coverage.

Mangawhai Rural FAQ

Common questions
  1. What is the typical weekly rent in Mangawhai Rural?

    The median weekly rent in Mangawhai Rural is $550/wk, based on the MBIE market rent dataset. The current rent signal is income-stretched rent market.

  2. What does the rent signal say about Mangawhai Rural?

    Income-stretched rent market: Weekly rent screens at about 81% of annual income. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  3. What is the livability profile for Mangawhai Rural?

    QuickProperty's livability signals for Mangawhai Rural show: Stretched, Moderate, Slowing. These are based on rent affordability, school EQI, NZDep deprivation index, and transport access.

  4. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Mangawhai Rural?

    Housing data comes from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Demographics are from Stats NZ Census 2023. Schools data uses the Ministry of Education Equity Index (EQI). The deprivation score uses NZDep2018. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  5. How often is the Mangawhai Rural data updated?

    RBNZ macro data updates with each deploy. Demographics are from NZ Census 2023. School EQI scores are from the Ministry of Education latest release.