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Suburb profile ·Bayside (NSW) LGA · NSW ·2207

Bardwell Park NSW 2207

Bardwell Park is in Bayside (NSW) LGA, NSW, postcode 2207, with population 2,320.

The read

Growth-momentum

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$736/wk
Rising
+4.0% YoY
Mar 2025 → May 2026 · 15 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2207 · May 2026
$745
$650
Mar 2025May 2026
Why it fits

Recent price movement shows visible market momentum. Transport coverage adds a practical access signal. Higher SEIFA context supports a stronger local-quality read.

What to check

Premium pricing raises the bar for yield, affordability, and downside checks. Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$2.3M
House median, latest period
15.9%YoY D10 vs AU
Median rent
$736/wk
Rent context available
4.0%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
1.7%
Low yield band
D4 vs AU
Population
2,320
2K local footprint
D9 vs AU
Schools
1
Matched school context
D1 vs AU
Drive to city
21 min
17.9 km to Sydney CBD · free-flow
Transit to city
51 min
Public transport to Sydney CBD · weekday 8am
Solar
2,072
193 added 12mo · 15MW
Price cycleAt its peak
LowPeak

At / near its all-time high

See trend depth →

Price history

Houses to Q2'25 · Units to Q3'25 — house and unit medians are released on separate cycles, so their latest period can differ.

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionAt its peak
Low · 2005Peak · 2026

At / near its all-time high

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+11.3%
5-yr
+7.0%
10-yr
+5.6%
Indicative cashflow-$1,632/wk (-$84,880/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Market turnover3.5% of homes traded/yr (29 sales · +13% vs 3-yr avg)
Rent stabilitytypical — rents vary ±4.1% around trend (short window, 15 pts)
Value vs advantage+63% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 9)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Dgrade · 23/100 · top 77% of 3,605AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 23% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth42
Rental yield10
Stability57
Volatility-10.7ppCycle-2.0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in Bardwell Park

Owner-occupied 81%Rented 19%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared9.5%
1,590 of 3,504 landlords
Avg rental loss$10,904/yr
Landlords (rental income)3,504
Reported capital gains1,499
Investor exposure index(low vs national)49/100
The read

Owner-occupier stronghold

80% of homes here are owner-occupied and 19% rented, with 10% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

80% owner-occupied — owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb rate shocks, supporting price stability.

What to check

Gross yield 1.7% is thin — returns here lean on capital growth, not cash flow.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

106%
of household income to service a new loan
24.6 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $10,984/mo vs median rent $3,189/mo (+244% · +$1799/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $8,746/mo (-2,238) · at 6.0% (current): $10,984/mo · at 8.0%: $13,443/mo (+2,459)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
18.5x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
31%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Stretched

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $2,800/mo, while renters pay about $3,189/mo — renting runs $389/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$2.29M
Household income · yr
$124K
Median rent · wk
$736
Owner mortgage · mo
$2,800
Gross yield
1.7%

Household income

$124K household · yr+50.7% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$48K
Family
$141K
Household
$124K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)fewer than 27% could service the median house
Under $300
23
$300-649
54
$650-999
81
$1,000-1,499
68
$1,500-1,999
83
$2,000-2,999
143
$3,000-3,999
107
$4,000+
203

Serviceability line: a household needs about $8,449/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 52% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $2,453/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (798 households)
Owned outright
43%
Owned with mortgage
37%
Rented
19%
Dwelling structure6.1% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
86%
Townhouse / semi
6%
Flat / apartment
5%

Getting to work: 42% drive, 5% public transport, 1% walk or cycle, 49% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Schools

Total1
Avg ICSEA1088
Students33
Government1
  • Bardwell Park Infants SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 1088

Livability

38/ 100 livability index

Top 62% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 38% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access39
Public transport (14 stops)42
Schools & hospitals25

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime April 2025 - March 2026
4,378
2,355 per 100k
D4 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k2,355
Total incidents4,378· April 2025 - March 2026
  • Assault1,01265%
  • Sexual Offences23915%
  • Robbery181%
  • Break And Enter29719%

Bushfire exposure

No mapped exposure ~0.0%
~0.0% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Low Density Residential
Residential 66% Public / Open space 19% Other 10%
Residential density: Low

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Population outlook

16,751 people · 202221,227 by 2032 (+26.7%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Arncliffe - Bardwell Valley SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Bardwell Park NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Bardwell Park (postcode 2207) is a smaller suburb in New South Wales within the Bayside (NSW) local government area. The area has roughly 2,320 residents and an established demographic, with a median age of 42. Households earn a median income of $124K per year, with an average household size of 2.8 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +0.9% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, managers, clerical & administrative. Employment in the area leans toward education and professional services. The top ancestries reported are Greek, English, Australian.

The median house price in Bardwell Park is $2.3 million, having climbed sharply by 15.9% over the past year. Units have a median price of $1.1 million (+21.1% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $736. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 1.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,800.

Bardwell Park is served by 1 school, including 1 primary. The average ICSEA score is 1088, which is above the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 14 bus stops. The crime rate in the Bayside (NSW) LGA is below average at 2,355 incidents per 100,000 population.

Looking at the investment signals, Gross rental yield sits at around 1.7% (low yield). Property prices are above the state median ($2.3M/$1.5M), placing it in the premium segment. The price-to-income ratio of 18.5x is considered stretched. House prices have moved +15.9% year-on-year. Population growth of +0.9% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield1.7% Low Yield
Price vs State$2.3M/$1.5M Above Median
Affordability18.5x Stretched
Price Momentum+15.9% Rising
Pop. Growth+0.9%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$2,800
Rent · wk(Census)$550
Market rent · wk(2026-05)$736
Gross yield1.2%
Price / income18.5x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2025-Q2)11
Population growth · Bayside (NSW) LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)187,770
5-year growth+1.3% CAGR
YoY change+0.9%
20012025
Development · Bayside (NSW) LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)590
Houses 22%Units 78%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Bayside (NSW) LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)3.3%
YoY change+0.1pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2207ATO
Negatively geared9.5%
1,590 of filers
Avg rental loss$10,904/yr
Landlords (rental income)3,504
Reported capital gains1,499
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population2,320
Median age42
Household size2.8
HH income · wk$2,386
Personal income · wk$916
Persons / bedroom0.9
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)9/10
Education (IEO)10/10
Economic (IER)8/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)10/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$1,992 → $2,386
Change+19.8%
vs NSW median-0.8 pp
Median rent+10%
stablevs NSW 2016–21
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets0
Pharmacies1
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations0
Cafes & dining3
TransportGTFS
Bus stops14
Hospitals · Bayside (NSW) LGAAIHW
Public1
Private3
St George Hospital NSWpublic
Aesthetic Day Surgeryprivate
St George Private Hospitalprivate
Wesley Hospital Kogarahprivate
Aged care · Bayside (NSW) LGAGEN
Facilities20
Residential places1,554
Huntingdon Gardens Aged Care Facility171 places
Estia Health Bexley Park146 places
Macquarie Lodge Aged Care Plus Centre130 places
Heritage Botany112 places
Scalabrini Village Nursing Home (Bexley)110 places
St Patrick's Green96 places
+14 more in Bayside (NSW) LGA
Childcare · Bayside (NSW) LGAACECQA
Services120
Approved places6,882
Exceeding NQS23
SCECS OSHC St Therese Mascot164 places
Star Club139 places
Bexley North Public School P and C Before and After Child Care Centre120 places
Daceyville OSHClub120 places
Ramsgate Out of School Hours Care Centre Inc120 places
SCECS OSHC St Francis Xavier's Arncliffe120 places
+114 more in Bayside (NSW) LGA
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Bardwell Park carries enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2025-Q2 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-05 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · April 2025 - March 2026 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 1 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 14 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Bardwell Park FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Bardwell Park in?

    Bardwell Park is in the Bayside (NSW) Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2207. Council-level context for Bayside (NSW) LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Bardwell Park?

    The current median house price in Bardwell Park, NSW is $2.3M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Bardwell Park?

    The median weekly rent in Bardwell Park is $736/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent context available.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Bardwell Park?

    Rent context available: Bardwell Park has usable rent context. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Bardwell Park a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Bardwell Park show: Low Yield, Above Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Bardwell Park?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Bardwell Park data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.