Skip to content
Suburb profile ·Bayside (NSW) LGA · NSW ·2207

Bardwell Valley NSW 2207

Bardwell Valley is in Bayside (NSW) LGA, NSW, postcode 2207, with population 2,344.

The read

Premium-market

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$736/wk
Rising
+4.0% YoY
Mar 2025 → May 2026 · 15 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2207 · May 2026
$745
$650
Mar 2025May 2026
Why it fits

Transport coverage adds a practical access signal.

What to check

Premium pricing raises the bar for yield, affordability, and downside checks. Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$1.9M
House median, latest period
4.5%YoY D9 vs AU
Median rent
$736/wk
Rent context available
4.0%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
2.0%
Low yield band
D5 vs AU
Population
2,344
2K local footprint
D9 vs AU
Schools
No matched school data
Drive to city
21 min
17.9 km to Sydney CBD · free-flow
Transit to city
51 min
Public transport to Sydney CBD · weekday 8am
Solar
2,072
193 added 12mo · 15MW
Price cycleRising
LowPeak

4.5% below peak · 268.2% above its low

See trend depth →

Price history

Houses to Q2'25 · Units to Q2'24 — house and unit medians are released on separate cycles, so their latest period can differ.

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionRising
Low · 2007Peak · 2024

4.5% below peak · 268.2% above its low

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+8.2%
5-yr
+8.5%
10-yr
+5.5%
Indicative cashflow-$1,260/wk (-$65,536/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Market turnover3.6% of homes traded/yr (29 sales · +0% vs 3-yr avg)
Rent stabilitytypical — rents vary ±4.1% around trend (short window, 15 pts)
Value vs advantage+115% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 5)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Cgrade · 54/100 · top 46% of 3,605AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 54% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth71
Rental yield18
Stability89
Volatility-10.9ppCycle+2.0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in Bardwell Valley

Owner-occupied 82%Rented 18%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared9.5%
1,590 of 3,504 landlords
Avg rental loss$10,904/yr
Landlords (rental income)3,504
Reported capital gains1,499
Investor exposure index(low vs national)39.8/100
The read

Owner-occupier stronghold

79% of homes here are owner-occupied and 17% rented, with 10% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

79% owner-occupied — owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb rate shocks, supporting price stability.

What to check

Gross yield 2.0% is thin — returns here lean on capital growth, not cash flow.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

100%
of household income to service a new loan
23.2 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $9,113/mo vs median rent $3,189/mo (+186% · +$1367/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $7,257/mo (-1,856) · at 6.0% (current): $9,113/mo · at 8.0%: $11,153/mo (+2,040)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
17.4x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
35%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Stretched

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $2,600/mo, while renters pay about $3,189/mo — renting runs $589/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$1.90M
Household income · yr
$109K
Median rent · wk
$736
Owner mortgage · mo
$2,600
Gross yield
2.0%

Household income

$109K household · yr+32.6% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$41K
Family
$121K
Household
$109K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)fewer than 18% could service the median house
Under $300
24
$300-649
102
$650-999
68
$1,000-1,499
81
$1,500-1,999
78
$2,000-2,999
144
$3,000-3,999
113
$4,000+
138

Serviceability line: a household needs about $7,010/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 57% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $2,453/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (793 households)2.8% social housing
Owned outright
44%
Owned with mortgage
36%
Rented
17%
Dwelling structure4.6% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
66%
Townhouse / semi
27%
Flat / apartment
6%

Getting to work: 45% drive, 5% public transport, 2% walk or cycle, 44% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Livability

7/ 100 livability index

Top 93% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 7% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access0
Public transport (7 stops)27
Schools & hospitals0

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime April 2025 - March 2026
4,378
2,355 per 100k
D4 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k2,355
Total incidents4,378· April 2025 - March 2026
  • Assault1,01265%
  • Sexual Offences23915%
  • Robbery181%
  • Break And Enter29719%

Bushfire exposure

No mapped exposure ~0.0%
~0.0% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Low Density Residential
Residential 71% Public / Open space 21%
Residential density: Low

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Population outlook

16,751 people · 202221,227 by 2032 (+26.7%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Arncliffe - Bardwell Valley SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Bardwell Valley NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Located in New South Wales within the Bayside (NSW) local government area, Bardwell Valley is a smaller suburb (postcode 2207). With a population of 2,344, the suburb has an established family demographic with a median age of 42. Households earn a median income of $109K per year, with an average household size of 2.9 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +0.9% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, managers, clerical & administrative. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and construction. The top ancestries reported are Australian, English, Lebanese.

Bardwell Valley has a median house price of $1.9 million, which has moved lower by 4.5% year-on-year. Units have a median price of $1.3 million (+1.7% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $736. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 2.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,600.

Public transport access includes 7 bus stops. The crime rate in the Bayside (NSW) LGA is below average at 2,355 incidents per 100,000 population.

Looking at the investment signals, The gross rental yield works out to roughly 2.0%, which reads as low yield. Property prices are near the state median ($1.9M/$1.5M). The price-to-income ratio of 17.4x is considered stretched. House prices have moved -4.5% year-on-year. Population growth of +0.9% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield2.0% Low Yield
Price vs State$1.9M/$1.5M· Near Median
Affordability17.4x Stretched
Price Momentum-4.5% Falling
Pop. Growth+0.9%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$2,600
Rent · wk(Census)$550
Market rent · wk(2026-05)$736
Gross yield1.5%
Price / income17.4x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2025-Q2)9
Population growth · Bayside (NSW) LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)187,770
5-year growth+1.3% CAGR
YoY change+0.9%
20012025
Development · Bayside (NSW) LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)590
Houses 22%Units 78%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Bayside (NSW) LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)3.3%
YoY change+0.1pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2207ATO
Negatively geared9.5%
1,590 of filers
Avg rental loss$10,904/yr
Landlords (rental income)3,504
Reported capital gains1,499
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population2,344
Median age42
Household size2.9
HH income · wk$2,099
Personal income · wk$793
Persons / bedroom0.9
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)5/10
Education (IEO)9/10
Economic (IER)6/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)9/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$1,684 → $2,099
Change+24.6%
vs NSW median+4 pp
Median rent+12.2%
stablevs NSW 2016–21
Area & amenity
TransportGTFS
Bus stops7
Hospitals · Bayside (NSW) LGAAIHW
Public1
Private3
St George Hospital NSWpublic
Aesthetic Day Surgeryprivate
St George Private Hospitalprivate
Wesley Hospital Kogarahprivate
Aged care · Bayside (NSW) LGAGEN
Facilities20
Residential places1,554
Huntingdon Gardens Aged Care Facility171 places
Estia Health Bexley Park146 places
Macquarie Lodge Aged Care Plus Centre130 places
Heritage Botany112 places
Scalabrini Village Nursing Home (Bexley)110 places
St Patrick's Green96 places
+14 more in Bayside (NSW) LGA
Childcare · Bayside (NSW) LGAACECQA
Services120
Approved places6,882
Exceeding NQS23
SCECS OSHC St Therese Mascot164 places
Star Club139 places
Bexley North Public School P and C Before and After Child Care Centre120 places
Daceyville OSHClub120 places
Ramsgate Out of School Hours Care Centre Inc120 places
SCECS OSHC St Francis Xavier's Arncliffe120 places
+114 more in Bayside (NSW) LGA
Shortlist workspace

Save suburbs here while you browse. Once the shortlist has two or more names, hand it straight into compare.

Current status
Add Bardwell Valley if it deserves a shortlist slot.

No saved AU suburbs yet.

EMPTY SET

No saved suburbs yet. Start with one ranking or suburb page, then compare once you have two candidates.

Open rankings to save the first candidates.

Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

There is enough direct local evidence on Bardwell Valley for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2025-Q2 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-05 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · April 2025 - March 2026 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · No local school matches exposed
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Missing
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 7 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Bardwell Valley FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Bardwell Valley in?

    Bardwell Valley is in the Bayside (NSW) Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2207. Council-level context for Bayside (NSW) LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Bardwell Valley?

    The current median house price in Bardwell Valley, NSW is $1.9M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Bardwell Valley?

    The median weekly rent in Bardwell Valley is $736/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent context available.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Bardwell Valley?

    Rent context available: Bardwell Valley has usable rent context. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Bardwell Valley a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Bardwell Valley show: Low Yield, Near Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Bardwell Valley?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Bardwell Valley data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.