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Suburb profile ·Penrith LGA · NSW ·2759

Erskine Park NSW 2759

Erskine Park is in Penrith LGA, NSW, postcode 2759, with population 6,486.

The read

Growth-momentum

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$710/wk
Rising
+4.4% YoY
Mar 2025 → May 2026 · 15 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2759 · May 2026
$710
$650
Mar 2025May 2026
Why it fits

Recent price movement shows visible market momentum. Transport coverage adds a practical access signal.

What to check

Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case.

Median house
$1.4M
House median, latest period
15.1%YoY D8 vs AU
Median rent
$710/wk
Income-stretched rent market
4.4%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
2.7%
Low yield band
D8 vs AU
Population
6,486
6K local footprint
D10 vs AU
Schools
2
Matched school context
D8 vs AU
Drive to city
44 min
47 km to Sydney CBD · free-flow
Transit to city
1h 52m
Public transport to Sydney CBD · weekday 8am
Solar
4,635
283 added 12mo · 34MW
Price cycleAt its peak
LowPeak

At / near its all-time high

See trend depth →

Price history

Houses to Q2'26 · Units to 2025 — house and unit medians are released on separate cycles, so their latest period can differ.

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionAt its peak
Low · 2008Peak · 2026

At / near its all-time high

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+8.5%
5-yr
+7.3%
10-yr
+7.1%
Affordability trajectoryWorsening
Price
+7.1%/yr
Income
+3.9%/yr

Growth in median price vs median household income — worsening — prices outgrowing incomes.

Indicative cashflow-$769/wk (-$40,014/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Market turnover2.1% of homes traded/yr (42 sales · -28% vs 3-yr avg)
Rent stabilitystable — rents vary ±2.6% around trend (short window, 15 pts)
Value vs advantage+38% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 6)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size).

Investment grade

Cgrade · 42/100 · top 58% of 3,605AU suburbs
Peer distributionstronger than 42% of AU suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Capital growth39
Rental yield42
Stability57
Volatility-9.1ppCycle-2.0Affordability-1.5

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer · stability drivers signed (+ = steadier)

Relative grade across Australian suburbs, combining qp's capital-growth (multi-year CAGR + cycle timing), rental-yield, and stability (price volatility + cycle + affordability) metrics via a three-pillar property-scoring method with an imbalance penalty. Within-Australia relative, indicative only — not financial advice.

Investor profile

Who invests in Erskine Park

Owner-occupied 80%Rented 20%
Investor activityATO
Negatively geared8.5%
1,376 of 2,194 landlords
Avg rental loss$8,680/yr
Landlords (rental income)2,194
Reported capital gains698
Investor exposure index(low vs national)40.4/100
The read

Owner-occupier stronghold

79% of homes here are owner-occupied and 19% rented, with 9% of landlords negatively geared.

Why it fits

79% owner-occupied — owner-occupiers hold longer and absorb rate shocks, supporting price stability.

What to check

Gross yield 2.7% is thin — returns here lean on capital growth, not cash flow.

ABS Census 2021 tenure (G37), ATO postcode rental statistics, and QuickProperty's investor-exposure index. Owner-occupied = owned outright + with a mortgage.

Mortgage affordability

64%
of household income to service a new loan
14.9 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $6,547/mo vs median rent $3,077/mo (+113% · +$801/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $5,213/mo (-1,334) · at 6.0% (current): $6,547/mo · at 8.0%: $8,013/mo (+1,466)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
11.2x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Stretched
Renting
30%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Stretched

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $2,167/mo, while renters pay about $3,077/mo — renting runs $910/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$1.36M
Household income · yr
$122K
Median rent · wk
$710
Owner mortgage · mo
$2,167
Gross yield
2.7%

Household income

$122K household · yr+48.4% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$47K
Family
$125K
Household
$122K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)fewer than 16% could service the median house
Under $300
43
$300-649
103
$650-999
140
$1,000-1,499
230
$1,500-1,999
219
$2,000-2,999
496
$3,000-3,999
318
$4,000+
305

Serviceability line: a household needs about $5,036/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 51% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $2,367/wk income).

Median taxable income trend (ATO, 2018-19 – 2022-23)$56K → $65K

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (1,976 households)1.0% social housing
Owned outright
31%
Owned with mortgage
48%
Rented
19%
Dwelling structure2.8% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
98%
Townhouse / semi
1%
Flat / apartment
1%

Getting to work: 63% drive, 1% public transport, 1% walk or cycle, 31% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Schools

Total2
Avg ICSEA971
Students1,321
Government2
  • James Erskine Public SchoolPrimary · Government · ICSEA 980Zoned
  • Erskine Park High SchoolSecondary · Government · ICSEA 962

1 of 2 schools here operate published enrolment zones (catchments). Zone boundaries set eligibility — check the official source for the exact catchment. Not enrolment advice.

Livability

70/ 100 livability index

Top 30% most liveable of 4,565Australian suburbs.

Peer distributionstronger than 70% of Australian suburbs
WeakerTypicalStronger
Everyday access58
Public transport (39 stops)77
Schools & hospitals56

Bar = this suburb's percentile · tick = typical (median) peer

Suburb-level access-density index (not an address-level walk-time score), normalised within Australian suburbs. Method based on the Urban Liveability Index (Higgs et al. 2019) and Walk Score — three equal-weighted domains combined with an imbalance penalty.

Crime April 2025 - March 2026
9,111
3,984 per 100k
D6 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k3,984
Total incidents9,111· April 2025 - March 2026
  • Assault2,35561%
  • Sexual Offences70918%
  • Robbery812%
  • Break And Enter70518%

Bushfire exposure

High exposure ~43.7%
~43.7% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land · ~12.1% Category 1 (highest hazard)

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Planning zones

Dominant zone General Industrial
Industrial 43% Public / Open space 24% Residential 22% Other 4%
Residential density: Low

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Population outlook

6,503 people · 20226,294 by 2032 (-3.2%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Erskine Park SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Full data detail Census · ATO · ABS · state datasets
Erskine Park NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Erskine Park (postcode 2759) is a mid-sized suburb in New South Wales within the Penrith local government area. The area has roughly 6,486 residents and a blend of families and working-age professionals, with a median age of 37. Households earn a median income of $122K per year, with an average household size of 3.2 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +1.2% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are clerical & administrative, technicians & trades, professionals. Employment in the area leans toward construction and healthcare. The top ancestries reported are Australian, English, Irish.

Erskine Park has a median house price of $1.4 million, which has climbed sharply by 15.1% year-on-year. Units have a median price of $1.0 million (+14.6% YoY). The current median weekly rent is $710. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 2.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,167.

Erskine Park is served by 2 schools, including 1 primary, 1 secondary. The average ICSEA score is 971, which is around the national average of 1,000. Public transport access includes 39 bus stops. The crime rate in the Penrith LGA is below average at 3,984 incidents per 100,000 population.

Looking at the investment signals, Gross rental yield sits at around 2.7% (low yield). Property prices are near the state median ($1.4M/$1.5M). The price-to-income ratio of 11.2x is considered stretched. House prices have moved +15.1% year-on-year. Population growth of +1.2% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield2.7% Low Yield
Price vs State$1.4M/$1.5M· Near Median
Affordability11.2x Stretched
Price Momentum+15.1% Rising
Pop. Growth+1.2%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$2,167
Rent · wk(Census)$450
Market rent · wk(2026-05)$710
Gross yield1.7%
Price / income11.2x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2026-Q2)5
Population growth · Penrith LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)231,701
5-year growth+1.3% CAGR
YoY change+1.2%
20012025
Development · Penrith LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)1,378
Houses 37%Units 63%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Penrith LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)3.7%
YoY change-0.4pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2759ATO
Negatively geared8.5%
1,376 of filers
Avg rental loss$8,680/yr
Landlords (rental income)2,194
Reported capital gains698
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population6,486
Median age37
Household size3.2
HH income · wk$2,349
Personal income · wk$906
Persons / bedroom0.8
IncomeATO 22-23
Median income$65,468
Mean income$71,275
Earners4,414
YoY change+7.8%
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)6/10
Education (IEO)4/10
Economic (IER)9/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)7/10
Income momentumCensus 16→21
HH income · wk$2,104 → $2,349
Change+11.6%
vs NSW median-9 pp
Median rent+9.8%
softeningvs NSW 2016–21
Area & amenity
Local amenitiesOSM
Supermarkets2
Pharmacies0
GP / clinics0
Fuel stations1
Cafes & dining0
aldi1
iga1
TransportGTFS
Bus stops39
Aged care · Penrith LGAGEN
Facilities13
Residential places1,270
Glenmore Park Care Community156 places
Boronia House130 places
SummitCare St Marys130 places
The Royce Manor128 places
SummitCare Penrith115 places
Anglicare Newmarch House102 places
+7 more in Penrith LGA
Childcare · Penrith LGAACECQA
Services187
Approved places12,470
Exceeding NQS34
Jordan Springs OSHCLUB355 places
Go Bananas Early Learning Centres205 places
Bright Minds Academy167 places
Ambrose School Age Care, Bethany, Glenmore Park165 places
Glenmore Park Early Learning Centre160 places
Greenwood Penrith159 places
+181 more in Penrith LGA
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Erskine Park has enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2026-Q2 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-05 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · April 2025 - March 2026 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · 2 schools matched
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 39 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Erskine Park FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Erskine Park in?

    Erskine Park is in the Penrith Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2759. Council-level context for Penrith LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Erskine Park?

    The current median house price in Erskine Park, NSW is $1.4M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Erskine Park?

    The median weekly rent in Erskine Park is $710/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is income-stretched rent market.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Erskine Park?

    Income-stretched rent market: Weekly rent screens at about 56% of annual income. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Erskine Park a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Erskine Park show: Low Yield, Near Median, Stretched. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Erskine Park?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Erskine Park data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.