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Suburb profile ·Central Coast (NSW) LGA · NSW ·2256

Phegans Bay NSW 2256

Phegans Bay is in Central Coast (NSW) LGA, NSW, postcode 2256, with population 406.

The read

Livability-led

There are enough stretched or weaker signals here that you should assume trade-offs rather than a clean story. Use compare mode to see whether the downside is price, local quality, or weaker momentum before treating it as a target suburb.

$580/wk
Falling
-3.0% YoY
Mar 2025 → Apr 2026 · 14 periods
NSW Fair Trading · postcode 2256 · Apr 2026
$662
$566
Mar 2025Apr 2026
Why it fits

Transport coverage adds a practical access signal. Higher SEIFA context supports a stronger local-quality read.

What to check

Gross yield looks low for an income-first use case. Small local population makes the signal set more fragile.

Median house
$1.1M
House median, latest period
4.1%YoY D7 vs AU
Median rent
$580/wk
Rent context available
3.0%YoY D10 vs AU
Gross yield
2.9%
Low yield band
D9 vs AU
Population
357,816
358K via Central Coast (NSW) LGA · SAL undercount
Schools
No matched school data
Solar
2,349
135 added 12mo · 15MW
Price cycleCorrecting
LowPeak

13.2% below peak · 270.2% above its low

See trend depth →

Price history

Trend & investor depth

Cycle positionCorrecting
Low · 2010Peak · 2021

13.2% below peak · 270.2% above its low

Price growth (compound)% per year
3-yr
+2.8%
5-yr
+7.6%
10-yr
+6.5%
Indicative cashflow-$571/wk (-$29,708/yr) · interest-only @ 6.2%, 80% LVR
Market turnover15.4% of homes traded/yr (26 sales)
Investor exposure69/100 — moderate (17% privately rented)
Rent stabilitytypical — rents vary ±4.0% around trend (short window, 14 pts)
Value vs advantage-25% vs suburbs of similar SEIFA advantage (decile 9)

Indicative cashflow is interest-only and excludes tax — use the calculator for a full projection. Turnover divides recorded sales by an estimated household count (population over average household size). Investor exposure blends private-rental share, turnover and short-stay density into a single national percentile (estimated).

Mortgage affordability

56%
of household income to service a new loan
13.0 yrs
to save a 20% deposit
Severe
housing-stress band
Rent vs buyRenting cheaper

New-loan repayment $5,060/mo vs median rent $2,513/mo (+101% · +$588/wk)

If rates move

At 4.0%: $4,029/mo (-1,031) · at 6.0% (current): $5,060/mo · at 8.0%: $6,193/mo (+1,133)

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year principal-and-interest loan at the current RBA new owner-occupier variable rate, against median weekly household income (ABS Census 2021). Stress bands follow the 30% / 45%-of-income thresholds used in ANZ-CoreLogic and AIHW reporting. Rent vs buy compares that repayment with the suburb's median advertised rent; it excludes rates, insurance, maintenance and deposit opportunity cost.

Stronger alternatives nearby

Higher yield

similar price · cross-LGA

Stronger 5-yr growth

similar price · cross-LGA

More affordable

lower price-to-income

Alternatives are similar-priced suburbs (0.7–1.4x this suburb's median) in other council areas that exceed it on the named metric. Indicative — not financial advice.

Affordability

Buying
9.8x
median home price as a multiple of annual household income
Moderate
Renting
28%
median weekly rent as a share of gross household income (the 30% rule)
Manageable

Owners with a mortgage repay a median of $2,392/mo, while renters pay about $2,513/mo — renting runs $121/mo higher on these medians.

Median price
$1.05M
Household income · yr
$108K
Median rent · wk
$580
Owner mortgage · mo
$2,392
Gross yield
2.9%

Household income

$108K household · yr+31.1% vs NSW suburb median
Personal
$49K
Family
$134K
Household
$108K
Household income distribution (ABS Census 2021 · weekly)23% could service the median house
Under $300
4
$300-649
14
$650-999
16
$1,000-1,499
18
$1,500-1,999
25
$2,000-2,999
23
$3,000-3,999
21
$4,000+
33

Serviceability line: a household needs about $3,892/wk to hold a new loan on the median house at 30% of income (20% deposit, 30-year P&I, current RBA rate).

At the median asking rent, about 48% of households here would spend more than 30% of income on rent (rent stress line: $1,933/wk income).

Housing stock and tenure

Tenure (164 households)
Owned outright
32%
Owned with mortgage
49%
Rented
17%
Dwelling structure11.9% of dwellings unoccupied on census night
Separate house
99%
Townhouse / semi
0%
Flat / apartment
0%

Getting to work: 44% drive, 0% public transport, 0% walk or cycle, 54% worked from home (2021 Census, taken during COVID-era work-from-home arrangements).

Population outlook

14,283 people · 202214,503 by 2032 (+1.5%)

ABS population projection (2022 base) for the Woy Woy - Blackwall SA2 statistical area — the finest official projection grain available; suburb-level projections do not exist.

Bushfire exposure

Severe exposure ~94.0%
~94.0% of the suburb is Bush Fire Prone Land · ~58.7% Category 1 (highest hazard)

Estimated exposure to NSW RFS Bush Fire Prone Land (CC BY), point-sampled across the suburb. This shows how much of the suburb sits within the official hazard layer — it is not a Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rating or a property-level assessment. Obtain a BAL assessment (AS 3959) for an individual property.

Planning zones

Dominant zone Environmental Conservation
Public / Open space 54% Residential 32% Other 1%
Residential density: Low

Land-use mix estimated by point-sampling the suburb against NSW EPI Land Zoning polygons (CC BY 4.0). This is a suburb-level snapshot of planning zones, not a parcel-level zoning certificate or development advice. Check the relevant planning scheme for an individual property.

Crime January 2025 - December 2025
12,518
3,557 per 100k
D5 vs AU

Crime

Rate · per 100k3,557
Total incidents12,518· January 2025 - December 2025
  • Assault3,43760%
  • Sexual Offences1,23622%
  • Robbery902%
  • Break And Enter98317%

Full data detail

Phegans Bay NSW — Property Data and Demographics

Phegans Bay (postcode 2256) is a sparsely populated locality in New South Wales within the Central Coast (NSW) local government area. With a population of 406, the suburb has a settled, mature resident base with a median age of 48. Households earn a median income of $108K per year, with an average household size of 2.4 people. Recent annual estimates show population movement staying broadly stable across the broader catchment, with population growth running at +0.7% year-on-year at the LGA level. NSW employment has moved +1.2% year-on-year in the official ABS Labour Force trend series, which provides the broader jobs backdrop for this suburb. NSW also had 35 Commonwealth-backed major projects under construction, 17 underway, and 67 in planning as at 2025-09-01, which is useful as a broader delivery backdrop rather than a suburb-specific project count. The most common occupations are professionals, managers, technicians & trades. Employment in the area leans toward healthcare and education. The top ancestries reported are English, Australian, Irish.

Phegans Bay has a median house price of $1.1 million, which has fallen by 4.1% year-on-year. The current median weekly rent is $580. This gives a gross rental yield of approximately 2.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,392.

Public transport access includes 5 bus stops. The crime rate in the Central Coast (NSW) LGA is below average at 3,557 incidents per 100,000 population.

On the investment side, The gross rental yield works out to roughly 2.9%, which reads as low yield. Property prices are near the state median ($1.1M/$1.5M). The price-to-income ratio of 9.8x is considered moderate. House prices have moved -4.1% year-on-year. Population growth of +0.7% year-on-year points to stable demand fundamentals. Building approvals have changed +0% year-on-year, indicating steady development activity.

Market & money
Investment signalsHeuristics
Rental Yield2.9% Low Yield
Price vs State$1.1M/$1.5M· Near Median
Affordability9.8x· Moderate
Price Momentum-4.1% Falling
Pop. Growth+0.7%· Stable
Development+0%· Steady
InvestmentNSW
Mortgage · mth$2,392
Rent · wk(Census)$460
Market rent · wk(2026-04)$580
Gross yield2.3%
Price / income9.8x
Sales vol (latest Q)(2020-Q3)5
Population growth · Central Coast (NSW) LGAABS ERP
Population (2025)357,816
5-year growth+0.6% CAGR
YoY change+0.7%
20012025
Development · Central Coast (NSW) LGAABS Approvals
Approvals (2026)1,034
Houses 61%Units 39%
YoY change+0%
Employment · Central Coast (NSW) LGASALM
Unemployment (Dec-25)3.4%
YoY change+0pp
Dec-10Dec-25
Property investors · Postcode 2256ATO
Negatively geared5.9%
520 of filers
Avg rental loss$8,370/yr
Landlords (rental income)1,205
Reported capital gains796
People & prosperity
DemographicsCensus 21
Population406
Median age48
Household size2.4
HH income · wk$2,075
Personal income · wk$944
Persons / bedroom0.7
SEIFA indexABS
Advantage (IRSAD)9/10
Education (IEO)10/10
Economic (IER)8/10
Disadvantage (IRSD)10/10
Area & amenity
TransportGTFS
Bus stops5
Hospitals · Central Coast (NSW) LGAAIHW
Public4
Private5
Gosford Hospitalpublic
Long Jetty Health Care Centrepublic
Woy Woy Hospitalpublic
Wyong Hospitalpublic
Berkeley Vale Private Hospitalprivate
Brisbane Waters Private Hospitalprivate
+3 more in Central Coast (NSW) LGA
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Current status
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Sources & freshness
Strong evidence

Phegans Bay has enough direct local evidence for a first-pass decision.

QuickProperty mixes release files, Census baselines, and matched local services on this page. Read the status panel before treating every metric as equally fresh.

PRICE POSTURE
NSW price medians are parser-guarded official records.

Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records

RENT POSTURE
Rent is using a state market dataset when available.

Use current rent as a starting signal, not as a fixed underwriting truth.

SERVICE POSTURE
Service coverage is matched locally, not inferred nationally.

Schools, transport, and hospitals are useful as presence signals, but they still have different source cadences.

Data status
Property prices
NSW Valuer General · 2020-Q3 · Official sale records parsed from cached Bulk PSI ZIP files with parser guardrails for token sales, non-house zoning, and low-value strata component records
medium stability · automated · every update · weekly
Available
Market rent
NSW Fair Trading · 2026-04 · State market dataset
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Crime
BOCSAR · January 2025 - December 2025 · Area-level release dataset
medium stability · automated · every update · release-based
Available
Schools
ACARA 2025 · No local school matches exposed
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Missing
Hospitals
AIHW · No linked local hospital coverage
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Missing
Transport
GTFS feeds · 5 matched stops/stations
medium stability · manual file · snapshot · mixed
Available
Population growth
ABS ERP · 2025 · Annual estimate series
stable source · automated · every update · annual
Available
Building approvals
ABS Building Approvals · 2026 · Annual release series
stable source · automated · every update · monthly
Available
Available means a direct local dataset is linked. Verify means coverage exists but freshness or precision is weaker, such as ABS price fallback, Census rent fallback, or low-confidence hospital matching.

Phegans Bay FAQ

Common questions
  1. What LGA is Phegans Bay in?

    Phegans Bay is in the Central Coast (NSW) Local Government Area, NSW, postcode 2256. Council-level context for Central Coast (NSW) LGA (suburb mix, population, rent, and price coverage) is available on the QuickProperty LGA page.

  2. What is the median house price in Phegans Bay?

    The current median house price in Phegans Bay, NSW is $1.1M, based on the latest available sales data from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region.

  3. What is the typical weekly rent in Phegans Bay?

    The median weekly rent in Phegans Bay is $580/wk, based on the current market rent dataset. The current rent signal is rent context available.

  4. What does the rent signal say about Phegans Bay?

    Rent context available: Phegans Bay has usable rent context. Use this as a suburb screening signal before comparing candidates or modelling a purchase; the matching rent ranking can provide broader market context.

  5. Is Phegans Bay a good investment?

    QuickProperty's investment signals for Phegans Bay show: Low Yield, Near Median, Moderate. These are computed from price, rent, income, and population data — not an opaque score.

  6. Where does QuickProperty get its data for Phegans Bay?

    Property prices come from state Valuers General offices and ABS Data by Region. Demographics are from ABS Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA. Crime statistics are from state police agencies. Transport data is sourced from GTFS feeds.

  7. How often is the Phegans Bay data updated?

    Property prices update quarterly. RBA macro indicators update with each deploy. Demographics are from Census 2021. School ICSEA scores are from ACARA 2025.